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Forums - Nintendo - Prediction: Xenoblade Chronicles X Will Be A Bigger System Seller Than MK8/SSBU (in Japan)

Dusk on 06 February 2015
tbone51 said:

 

Prediction: Xenoblade Chronicles X Will Be A Bigger System Seller Than MK8+SSBU (in Japan)

 

Yes I said it, bump in 3 months :p

For those who only think MK+SSB can push systems (nintendo) we'll find out soon enough :)

 

(Media Create #s)  (SSB released in Dec)

Game      ~   2 Weeks Before Release  ~  Week Before Release   ~  Games Release      ~    Percentage Increase

Mario Kart 8:             6.7k                    ⇒            9.0k                   ⇒        19.3k            ~          214% Boost

SSB WiiU:                   9.6k                   ⇒          12.5k                   ⇒        24.5k            ~          196% Boost

 


Hmmmm. That's possible. When I first read the title I was like NOPE, but just in Japan... HMMMMM. Possible. WW, not a chance, doesn't have the mass appeal unfotunately even though it looks AMAZBALLZ! 



Gotta figure out how to set these up lol.

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HollyGamer on 06 February 2015
Clyde32 said:
HollyGamer said:

Yeah i guess we can blame Wii U for that. But the point is,  it will be difficult for XCX  out selling  SSBU and MK8 sales.


You are missing the point. Tbone isn't saying it will sell better. 

Yeah you right that's my mistake sorry, but still my opinion, bigger games sales it's also help selling the system. It doesnt always work that way but normaly it always does



HollyGamer on 06 February 2015
Clyde32 said:
HollyGamer said:
Let's hope it turns like you hope for and hopping JRPG games will flourish when it happens. But in my prediction XCX does not have a hype like SSB or Mario Kart and this:

Famitsu - This week's most wanted games (Jan. 26th, 2015)

Jan 26, 2015 by RawmeatCowboy
1. [PS4] Final Fantasy XV – 1,009 votes
2. [PS4] Dragon Quest Heroes – 835 votes
3. [3DS] Bravely Second – 673 votes
4. [3DS] The Legend of Zelda: Majora’s Mask 3D – 586 votes
5. [PS3] Persona 5 – 568 votes
6. [PS3] Dragon Quest Heroes – 517 votes
7. [PS4] Kingdom Hearts III – 504 votes
8. [PS4] Persona 5 – 488 votes
9. [3DS] Theatrhythm Dragon Quest – 464 votes
10. [PS4] Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain – 373 votes
11. [PSV] Sword Art Online: Lost Song – 329 votes
12. [WIU] The Legend of Zelda – 322 votes
13. [3DS] Etrian Mystery Dungeon – 292 votes
14. [PS4] Bloodborne – 270 votes
15. [3DS] Lost Heroes 2 – 268 votes
16. [PSV] Kan Colle Kai – 266 votes
17. [PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst – 251 votes
18. [3DS] PoPoLoCrois Farm Story – 250 votes
19. [PS3] Samurai Warriors 4-II – 225 votes
20. [PS3] Dai-3-Ji Super Robot Taisen Z Tengoku-hen – 223 votes
21. [3DS] Devil Survivor 2: Record Breaker – 216 votes
22. [PSV] SaGa 2015 – 214 votes
23. [PS4] Far Cry 4 – 196 votes
24. [PS4] Yakuza Zero – 174 votes
25. [PS3] Resident Evil: Revelations 2 – 173 votes
26. [PS4] Resident Evil: Revelations 2 – 172 votes
27. [PS4] Final Fantasy Type-0 HD – 160 votes
28. [PS3] The Last Remnant – 159 votes
29. [3DS] The Great Ace Attorney – 137 votes
30. [PS3] Yakuza Zero – 135 votes

http://www.gonintendo.com/?mode=viewstory&id=245905

and don't forget SSBU and Mario Kart 8 have bigger market target while XCX is for teens and above and JRPG lover (while i agree most Japanese gamers like Jrpg but there are some non Japanese Wii U owners live in Japan)


Why use January 26th?

Because FFXV doesn't even have a release date or even Kingdom Hearth 3.  It doesn't mean the list only for game which will be release on January



HollyGamer on 06 February 2015
cycycychris said:
HollyGamer said:
Let's hope it turns like you hope for and hopping JRPG games will flourish when it happens. But in my prediction XCX does not have a hype like SSB or Mario Kart and this:

Famitsu - This week's most wanted games (Jan. 26th, 2015)

Jan 26, 2015 by RawmeatCowboy
1. [PS4] Final Fantasy XV – 1,009 votes
2. [PS4] Dragon Quest Heroes – 835 votes
3. [3DS] Bravely Second – 673 votes
4. [3DS] The Legend of Zelda: Majora’s Mask 3D – 586 votes
5. [PS3] Persona 5 – 568 votes
6. [PS3] Dragon Quest Heroes – 517 votes
7. [PS4] Kingdom Hearts III – 504 votes
8. [PS4] Persona 5 – 488 votes
9. [3DS] Theatrhythm Dragon Quest – 464 votes
10. [PS4] Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain – 373 votes
11. [PSV] Sword Art Online: Lost Song – 329 votes
12. [WIU] The Legend of Zelda – 322 votes
13. [3DS] Etrian Mystery Dungeon – 292 votes
14. [PS4] Bloodborne – 270 votes
15. [3DS] Lost Heroes 2 – 268 votes
16. [PSV] Kan Colle Kai – 266 votes
17. [PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst – 251 votes
18. [3DS] PoPoLoCrois Farm Story – 250 votes
19. [PS3] Samurai Warriors 4-II – 225 votes
20. [PS3] Dai-3-Ji Super Robot Taisen Z Tengoku-hen – 223 votes
21. [3DS] Devil Survivor 2: Record Breaker – 216 votes
22. [PSV] SaGa 2015 – 214 votes
23. [PS4] Far Cry 4 – 196 votes
24. [PS4] Yakuza Zero – 174 votes
25. [PS3] Resident Evil: Revelations 2 – 173 votes
26. [PS4] Resident Evil: Revelations 2 – 172 votes
27. [PS4] Final Fantasy Type-0 HD – 160 votes
28. [PS3] The Last Remnant – 159 votes
29. [3DS] The Great Ace Attorney – 137 votes
30. [PS3] Yakuza Zero – 135 votes

http://www.gonintendo.com/?mode=viewstory&id=245905

and don't forget SSBU and Mario Kart 8 have bigger market target while XCX is for teens and above and JRPG lover (while i agree most Japanese gamers like Jrpg but there are some non Japanese Wii U owners live in Japan)

It's actually on the list now. Atleast according to the most recent chart

1. [PS4] Final Fantasy XV – 1,116 votes
2. [PS4] Dragon Quest Heroes – 887 votes
3. [3DS] Bravely Second – 848 votes
4. [PS3] Persona 5 – 762 votes
5. [PS3] Theatrhythm Dragon Quest – 637 votes
6. [3DS] The Legend of Zelda: Majora’s Mask 3D – 602 votes
7. [PS4] Persona 5 – 525 votes
8. [PS4] Dragon Quest Heroes – 502 votes
9. [PS4] Kingdom Hearts III – 490 votes
10. [3DS] Etrian Mystery Dungeon – 413 votes
11. [3DS] Lost Heroes 2 – 377 votes
12. [PSV] Kan Colle Kai – 365 votes
13. [PS4] Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain – 336 votes
14. [PS4] Bloodborne – 316 votes
15. [3DS] PoPoLoCrois Farm Story – 292 votes
16. [PS4] Final Fantasy Type-0 HD – 286 votes
17. [PS4] Yakuza Zero – 277 votes
18. [PS3] Resident Evil: Revelations 2 – 272 votes
19. [PS4] Resident Evil: Revelations 2 – 270 votes
20. [PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst – 263 votes
21. [WIU] The Legend of Zelda – 235 votes
22. [PS3] Samurai Warriors 4-II – 232 votes
23. [3DS] The Great Ace Attorney – 231 votes
24. [PSV] Sword Art Online: Lost Song – 226 votes
25. [PS3] Yakuza Zero – 223 votes
26. [PS3] Dai-3-Ji Super Robot Taisen Z Tengoku-hen – 216 votes
27. [PS3] The Last Remnant – 214 votes
28. [PSV] SaGa 2015 – 212 votes
29. [PSV] Dai-3-Ji Super Robot Taisen Z Tengoku-hen – 196 votes
30. [WIU] Xenoblade Chronicles X – 154 votes

http://nintendoeverything.com/famitsus-most-wanted-games-2115/

Still way to low considering how good it looks. Hopefully all this recent news, directs, and bundles can really help this game out.

and then compare to the list when SSBU and MK8 haven't release yet (prior 2013 list i think ) and just look where SSBU and MK8 stand and compare it with your new list. It's already answering the OP prediction if we use hype matter for predict the future sales. Yeah but i hope it will help Wii U and i am wrong.

Edit: My list is more up to date then yours actually



tbone51 on 06 February 2015
TheGoldenBoy said:
Didn't you say the same thing for SSB in comparison to MK8?

Anyways, I doubt it. It might give a week or two boost, which most games tend to do, but I think Wii U sales will return to pre-launch levels again.


Yes i did, i made a wrong prediction, dont know wat it has to do with this? My other much much bold prediction i recently had people thought i was crazy and i was close to the mark... (SSBU+3DS hitting close to 10mil Shipped by years end)!  Since we are talking about my predictions of course, I can name all the crazy/unbelievable ones i got right if you like :0

As for your second comment, im talking just week of launch not long term^



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tbone51 on 06 February 2015
KingdomHeartsFan said:
Clyde32 said:


Cool.

If you think good games bombing is cool, here's hoping Xenoblade Chronicles X can't break 100k.


95% of games in japan dont break the 100k barrier lifetime, and XC sold over 150k as a new ip. Its no bomb



tbone51 on 06 February 2015
HollyGamer said:
KyleeStrutt said:
Xenoblade was closer to 190k on Wii actually.

The game had a fantastic life on the second hand market, it actually sold more used copies than new ones, had a great word of mouth and was a fan favorite.

Really, the only thing stopping XenoX to do well its the WiiU.

Yeah i guess we can blame Wii U for that. But the point is,  it will be difficult for XCX  out selling  SSBU and MK8 sales.


Who's tlking abot XCX being bigger than SSB/MK? Where talking about selling HW here^



HollyGamer on 06 February 2015
tbone51 said:
HollyGamer said:
KyleeStrutt said:
Xenoblade was closer to 190k on Wii actually.

The game had a fantastic life on the second hand market, it actually sold more used copies than new ones, had a great word of mouth and was a fan favorite.

Really, the only thing stopping XenoX to do well its the WiiU.

Yeah i guess we can blame Wii U for that. But the point is,  it will be difficult for XCX  out selling  SSBU and MK8 sales.


Who's tlking abot XCX being bigger than SSB/MK? Where talking about selling HW here^

I am alredy answer that to clyde, so i hope you can read all the comment (it's your thread after all )

Edit: Normally, games sales directly affecting the consoles sales as well.



KyleeStrutt on 06 February 2015

Isn't the bundle releasing like a week before the stand alone version?

I remember reading something like that earlier today, it'd be cool if Nintendo released a unique looking system with the game rather than the plain black one.

XenoX is releasing the same day as the second expansion of Dragon Quest X and the Puzzles and Dragons Mario game, hopefully it stands out.



KingdomHeartsFan on 06 February 2015
tbone51 said:
KingdomHeartsFan said:

If you think good games bombing is cool, here's hoping Xenoblade Chronicles X can't break 100k.


95% of games in japan dont break the 100k barrier lifetime, and XC sold over 150k as a new ip. Its no bomb

Where did u get that from?