So, is it really overtracked? I get the situation is bleak, and Japanese numbers are down YoY, but I witnessed the numbers last year and this year, and went back to check. Numbers were similar at the beginning, but it was still pumping out 30k compared to the 20k it had last year weekly. Also DK boost in Feb. must of put it at least 20k above the normal last year. I get that LEGO City and Monster Hunter probably did some numbers we didn't get early Spring this year, but not by that much. And then Mario Kart 8's launch, where it sold 130k when it launched and kept a 60k baseline until the bundle ended, and still kept above 50k for a while in August. The highest Wii U reached last summer was when Pikmin 3 launched, and it was only 30k. Wii U was doing double that half the summer with Mario Kart while Pikmin saw a little boost for one week. Also Smash brought sales up a little bit this holiday, so how is Wii U 2014 just now past 2013 numbers?

3,218,652 is the number listed on the yearly tab right now. This makes no sense

 Also remember Hyrule Warriors and Bayonetta 2 did more than the absolute nothing last year. I believe WWHD did beat out them in October though, but still.

Well, maybe VGC finally decided to try to undertrack the Wii U after overtracking it for so many months.

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Last September Nintendo said they sold 7.29 million units, shipped obviously, and I remember that VGChartz had it overtracked.

We will find out soon enough when NPD comes along! Would be better if Nintendo gave the numbers though

I think 2014 will be the peak year which is really sad.

I think 2015 should be its peak.

Q1 will be up YOY because of Smash Bros/Mario Kart

Q2- level

Q3+Q4 Should be up. Although there won't be a Mario Kart or Smash, we will see a pricecut and 6 fairly big releases versus just 2.

Xenoblade X, Splatoon, Mario Maker, Yoshi, StarFox, Zelda, Possibly Pokken. Plus more competetive holiday bundles including SMash Bros and Mario Kart . This is me assuming that Nintendo will push most releases towards the second half of the year. All we have confirmed so far is Kirby for Q1, Mario Party for Spring and Splatoon for Summer.

I think there will be a new model cheaper model annunced this year.
I think it could even be possible that people with the older Wii U model get some freebie, like free Nintendo 64 virtual console games. Kinda like what happened with 3DS and Ambassador.

I think 2015 will be Nintendo's final big push for the Wii U. Peak software output, peak marketing effort, etc. There's plentiful 2015 games already announced, and there is undoubtedly more to come that are still unannounced. I know there's that article flying around out there from an interview with Bill Trinen that says there's no new Mario in 2015. The problem is, that article was published on January 2nd, which means it was conducted in December. He was in all likelihood talking about 2014, and the comment was taken out of context.  Which is something that happens all the time, unfortunately.

It's very unlikely that Nintendo would break huge news like that in a small-time interview. There's also no reason for Nintendo to publicly state that they're *NOT* releasing something so specific, it doesn't serve any purpose.

Even if there's no new Mario game ready for 2015, something will surely be discussed or shown at E3. Certainly EAD Tokyo hasn't spent the last 14 months doing nothing but working on Captain Toad. It's a huge studio with at least two main teams.

Japan home console sales are the problem. So low compared.to previous gens

Wii U's troubles stem from all three territories.  It's having trouble gaining traction in Europe.  Year-end sales in North America aren't as strong as they ought to be, especially given Smash Bros and Mario Kart, and sales of the system in Japan are down 300k units year-over-year.