Barely the half!Same numbers with ps3,really?This is Japan,ps4 passing psvita's lt sales?:O

You're still waiting miracles from japanese games?

Then you mock 20m predictions for wii u...

You accept 70m predictions for xb1 but you dissaprove 20m+ predictions for wii u..!

Explain why...

Also,break it down per region!

NA:

EU:

JA:

ROW:

What is wrong with that? Wii U is tracking about 2/3 of GC and about 1/2 of N64 in the same time frame. At this rate, it will only sell about 15 million.

Xbox One is at 10 million in the first year, just had a record breaking post launch November and is tracking above 360 in the same time frame. I don't think it will reach 70 million but there is actual data to support such a prediction.

You can't have your cake and eat it too!40m for xbone in NA,automatically would mean deprivation of many sales from ps4 there!

How so? According to this site, PS2+XB+GC=80 million & Wii+360+PS3=120 million in North America.

Xbox One-40 million

Playstation 4-50 million

Wii U-10 million

Total-100 million

That is a completely feasible prediction for 8th gen lifetime sales in North America.

Because for me the comparison with predecessors doesn't mean anything!Even,if wii u was tracking above gc,I would scath these comparisons too!

Also,as I have said comparison with gc isn't fair and how it could be while gc had to consecutive big price cuts in its first two years and sold 13m because of them in just these two years,which is the 60% of its total sales and then tanked....

Distance from 9m to 20m is 11m,distance from 20-22m(xbone by the end of its second year) to 70m is 50-48m!And ps4 is a harder competitor than ps3 was for xbox360 in USA...And in Europe,France and especially Germany aren't helping,fortunately for it,it kicks some ass in UK!

Obviously predeccessors sales/trends aren't proof of future sales but using actual data to support a prediction is better than what ur doing, which is making predictions based on what u want to see.

Once again, using actual data, N64/GC/Wii all peaked by their 2nd full year, Wii U with having pretty much all of its big hitting franchises has likely seen it's peak year this year. We won't see Nintendo do any desperate price cuts like they did with GC because they have posted 3 consecutive yearly losses and are now prioritizing profits over marketshare for the remainder of the generation. A $250 price tag is likely next year and one more $50 price cut shortly before it gets discontinued. It's unlikely we will ever see an official Wii U price under $199.

Ur last paragraph honestly makes no sense. I know 50 million is bigger than 11 million. Xbox One will be around 12 million by the end of this year, its first full year. Wii U will be around 9 million by the end of this year and assuming sales for 2015 are similar to 2013/2014, it will only be around 12 million by the end of its 3rd full year. That means Xbox One will have sold more in 1 year than Wii U in 3 years. This is also not taking into account that Xbox One still has a ton of life left in it, 2015 will likely be better than this year, a $299 Halo 5 bundle for the holidays will sell great and big 3rd party releases will continue to push hardware.

Can I get a link to said article this is talking about?

http://seattletimes.com/html/businesstechnology/2025273406_briercolumn22xml.html

Wouldn't be surprised if he was talking shipments and/or US only, wouldn't be the first time.

If the Wii U has actually been undertracked by over a million in the last 3 months, with accurate japanese numbers and accurate US numbers until November, then... well then vgchartz is just useless in the holidays...

The size of the xb/PS market is fairly static, Actuall it shrunk from gen 6 to 7 with all the casuals going to Wii, and then exiting consoles to go mobile/Facebook casual. Ps2 took the vast majority of the market the ps3/360 split it evenly, though with significant imbalances in individual markets. The gen ps4 will once again dominate, but not quite to the same extent. There will be no market growth for PS/xb this gen. The last gen where there was genuine growth of gamers was Ps2 gen. Gen 7 was a one time thing giving a false impression of a major expansion of the number of gamers in the world.

So xb one and PS4 will be fighting over about 160 million users. Best case for Xb one is 60 million to PS4's 100 million. 

People should not get confused between fast sales and sustained sales. Ps4 won't burn quite as hot and short as Wii, but it will be more like a Wii pattern than the more gradual and longer lived PS360 sales patterns. And xb one is following a similar track. it will burn out very fast in all but the English speaking markets, if MS doesn't do something different.