By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales - Will PS4/XB1 be more front loaded than PS3/360?

Together both the PS3 and 360 sold around 170m. I expect both the PS4 and X1 together to sell a similar amount, but the PS4 will obviously sell much more than X1. And with the Wii U doing so poorly, the console market will significantly shrink this gen. 



    

NNID: FrequentFlyer54

Around the Network
small44 said:
zorg1000 said:

small44 said:

 Ps4 and xboxone one problem is cross-gen and they still had a lot of first party guns not yet released  so i think xbone+ps4 will always still sell better then ps3+xbox360

 

I'm not talking about lifetime sales, I want to talk about whether or not these new consoles are more frontloaded and will have more normal peaks. Most consoles peak in the 2nd or 3rd year, PS3/360 had extremely late peaks for one reason or another.

They are not,ps4 and xbox one they didn't peak yet but it's possible they peak earlier then ps3/xbox360

They are not what? I know they haven't peaked yet, they just hit their 1 year mark. I think they will probably in their 2nd or 3rd full year like most consoles do.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

MoHasanie said:
Together both the PS3 and 360 sold around 170m. I expect both the PS4 and X1 to sell a similar amount, but the PS4 will obviously sell much more than X1.


God dammit Mo!!!!!!! I thought u were smarter than this I'm not talking about total sales, this thread is about if they will have sales curves similar to most consoles which is peaking in the 2nd or 3rd full year or will they have extremely late peaks like PS3/360 had?



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

I don't see xbox one reaching xbox 360 numbers unless Microsoft come up with another Kinect selling type. On the other hand, ps4 might surpass ps3. Ps move didn't have that kind of impact that Wii motion control and Kinect had. Most of the sales were on his own so ps4 can sell on his own as well.

My predictions
PS4 90-100m
Xbox One 50-60m
Wii U 20-25m



Depends on what you mean by "front loaded" ...

Is it one, two, or three first years vs the rest of the life ?



Around the Network
zorg1000 said:
small44 said:
zorg1000 said:

small44 said:

 Ps4 and xboxone one problem is cross-gen and they still had a lot of first party guns not yet released  so i think xbone+ps4 will always still sell better then ps3+xbox360

 

I'm not talking about lifetime sales, I want to talk about whether or not these new consoles are more frontloaded and will have more normal peaks. Most consoles peak in the 2nd or 3rd year, PS3/360 had extremely late peaks for one reason or another.

They are not,ps4 and xbox one they didn't peak yet but it's possible they peak earlier then ps3/xbox360

They are not what? I know they haven't peaked yet, they just hit their 1 year mark. I think they will probably in their 2nd or 3rd full year like most consoles do.


Frontloaded



PS4 - over 100 millions let's say 120m
Xbox One - 70m
Wii U - 25m

Vita - 15m if it will not get Final Fantasy Kingdoms Heart and Monster Hunter 20m otherwise
3DS - 80m

Yes, since this gen will probably end early.

Pricecuts will be earlier too, due to HW specs.



By "more front loaded", do you mean they'll peak in sales sooner? If so then yeah, almost definitely. The PS3 and 360 didn't peak until 2011. Their rise to power was like watching slow-mo footage :p



zorg1000 said:
MoHasanie said:
Together both the PS3 and 360 sold around 170m. I expect both the PS4 and X1 to sell a similar amount, but the PS4 will obviously sell much more than X1.


God dammit Mo!!!!!!! I thought u were smarter than this I'm not talking about total sales, this thread is about if they will have sales curves similar to most consoles which is peaking in the 2nd or 3rd full year or will they have extremely late peaks like PS3/360 had?

Ohhh, silly me! I

Yeah I agree with your prediction. PS4 and X1 will peak much sooner. X1 will peak next year provided they permanently drop the price to $349 and then $299 in the holidays. PS4 I think will peak in 2016. And considering this console generation is expected to finish much sooner than the last one, I doubt there is any chance either console will peak towards the end of the generation. 



    

NNID: FrequentFlyer54

MoHasanie said:
zorg1000 said:
MoHasanie said:
Together both the PS3 and 360 sold around 170m. I expect both the PS4 and X1 to sell a similar amount, but the PS4 will obviously sell much more than X1.


God dammit Mo!!!!!!! I thought u were smarter than this I'm not talking about total sales, this thread is about if they will have sales curves similar to most consoles which is peaking in the 2nd or 3rd full year or will they have extremely late peaks like PS3/360 had?

Ohhh, silly me! I

Yeah I agree with your prediction. PS4 and X1 will peak much sooner. X1 will peak next year provided they permanently drop the price to $349 and then $299 in the holidays. PS4 I think will peak in 2016. And considering this console generation is expected to finish much sooner than the last one, I doubt there is any chance either console will peak towards the end of the generation. 

There's no reason why this gen will be shorter then previous one



PS4 - over 100 millions let's say 120m
Xbox One - 70m
Wii U - 25m

Vita - 15m if it will not get Final Fantasy Kingdoms Heart and Monster Hunter 20m otherwise
3DS - 80m