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Forums - Sales Discussion - Xbone > PS4+Wii U in November NPD?

drake_tolu said:
ethomaz said:

Spedfrom said:

What's your thought process behind that prediction? Are you expecting PS4's Black Friday bundles to be that successful even though XBO has sold more than PS4 so far this month?

Yeap... BF for PS4 will be huge.

Right now Xbone have a small edge in the sales.

PS. VGC is overtracking Xbone in US... the first week is 180-200k instead 262k... the game in November between Xbone and PS4 is ~100k yet.

I think that XO have sold 70,000 the last week of October (68,000 PS4).

Have more than triple the sales, so, i said 225,000 the week of price drop, and 200,000 the week of Halo and AC.

This are my prediction:

Week
1 125,000 225,000 25,000
2 120,000 200,000 35,000
3 250,000 150,000 85,000
4 500,000 375,000 250,000

 

It did triple in 10 days... not one week.



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Still not sold on all the Smash hype so I'm gonna say it's possible. Unless people in US remember that they like PS4 more on Black Friday.



If you demand respect or gratitude for your volunteer work, you're doing volunteering wrong.

Definitely not happening. PS4 will definitely see a boost on black Friday, and Wii U is getting its own boost from Smash. TBH I'm still not convinced XBO will top PS4 for the month in the USA, though it will probably be very close.



I agree to extent because Xbox1 has always been huge in the States and not so much worldwide. Sony does win hands down when considering WW numbers.



lol no



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It won't be close the X1 will win November by a good margin and that momentum will carry over to December and so fort. It begins here!

Of course, I don't think the X1 can be ahead if we combine both the PS4 and Wii U sales that would just be unrealistic. Unless the Wii U really has an abyssmal sales number this holiday season (Which is doubtful).



man-bear-pig said:
drake_tolu said:
man-bear-pig said:
Is November NPD 4 just 4 weeks then?

8 November

15 November

22 November

29 Novemeber


Thanks, okay so here's how I think it could go down 

Xbone:

week 1: 235k week 2: 195k week 3: 165k week 4: 460k

Total: 1,055k

PS4:

week 1: 140k week 2: 135k week 3: 200k week 4: 450k

Total: 925k

Wii U:

week 1: 25k week 2: 40k week 3: 80k week 4: 170k

Total: 315k

 

1,055k vs 1,240k

Yeah, reasonable...



ethomaz said:
drake_tolu said:

I think that XO have sold 70,000 the last week of October (68,000 PS4).

Have more than triple the sales, so, i said 225,000 the week of price drop, and 200,000 the week of Halo and AC.

This are my prediction:

Week
1 125,000 225,000 25,000
2 120,000 200,000 35,000
3 250,000 150,000 85,000
4 500,000 375,000 250,000

 

It did triple in 10 days... not one week.

Really?

I remember: "compared to last week the sales are more than tripled".



drake_tolu said:

Really?

I remember: "compared to last week the sales are more than tripled".

Yeap.

The last 10 days period... since Nov 2 price cut until the day after MCC collection launch it had more than tripled the previous week sales.

We don't know the week over week increase but it had two big launches in these 10 days period:

Nov 2: Pricecut  + CoD
Nov 11: MCC + Unity

So you have to take the sales of the previous week (the week before Nov 2), math 3x and split between the 10 days kwoing the biggest sales days are Nov 2 and Nov 11.

That is why I estimate 180-200k in the first week (pricecut + CoD).

It is the usual MS spin.



Let's see it beat PS4 first.