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Forums - Microsoft - How much will XB1 sell in November NPD? NPD = USA as if you need telling ...

 

What will XB1 sell in November NPD

500k or less 101 23.65%
 
501k - 650k 31 7.26%
 
651k - 800k 35 8.20%
 
801k - 900k 34 7.96%
 
901k - 1m 38 8.90%
 
1m - 1.1m 47 11.01%
 
1.1m - 1.2m 27 6.32%
 
1.2m - 1.3m 39 9.13%
 
1.3m - 1.4m 8 1.87%
 
1.4m or more 67 15.69%
 
Total:427
small44 on 27 October 2014

700k



PS4 - over 100 millions let's say 120m
Xbox One - 70m
Wii U - 25m

Vita - 15m if it will not get Final Fantasy Kingdoms Heart and Monster Hunter 20m otherwise
3DS - 80m

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bubblegamer on 27 October 2014

I'm thinking between 900K and 1M.



Aphelion on 27 October 2014
Seece said:
Aphelion said:

Xbox 360 first 4 Novembers sales (vgc)

2005 305k
2006 509k
2007 669k
2008 811k

Lets face it X1 is no 360 in US.  

So how in the hell does anyone see X1 braking 1m in November, it took 360 6 years to break 1million in Nov sales in the US. You all just disregard history and run with hopes ? By the way PS3 never broke 1m in Nov in US, yet X1 will do it its second year. Ohh Please.

Even my 700k might have been to generous. You all influenced me with all this crazy unsubstantiated optimism.

Ugh, I've already told you. Retailer habits have changed since those days and November is a lot more concentrated for sales now. And before you trot out some excuse about high priced consoles, this goes for the entire retailer industry.

So sales now are triple if not quadruple for Nov.



Seece on 27 October 2014
Aphelion said:
Seece said:
Aphelion said:

Xbox 360 first 4 Novembers sales (vgc)

2005 305k
2006 509k
2007 669k
2008 811k

Lets face it X1 is no 360 in US.  

So how in the hell does anyone see X1 braking 1m in November, it took 360 6 years to break 1million in Nov sales in the US. You all just disregard history and run with hopes ? By the way PS3 never broke 1m in Nov in US, yet X1 will do it its second year. Ohh Please.

Even my 700k might have been to generous. You all influenced me with all this crazy unsubstantiated optimism.

Ugh, I've already told you. Retailer habits have changed since those days and November is a lot more concentrated for sales now. And before you trot out some excuse about high priced consoles, this goes for the entire retailer industry.

So sales now are triple if not quadruple for Nov.

Yes, go check the last few years.

2012 saw Oct to Nov increase five-fold, 2013 was quadruple.

And MS has never been this aggressive in a November before, it's the first time the console has had a price cut in November, it's usually August or September

2012:
Sep - 270,000
Oct - 270,000
Nov - 1,260,000
Dec - 1,400,000

XB1 is already beating the Sep figure.



 

toastboy44562 on 27 October 2014

1.8 million. 2.8 million worldwide



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Aphelion on 27 October 2014
Seece said:
Aphelion said:
Seece said:
Aphelion said:

Xbox 360 first 4 Novembers sales (vgc)

2005 305k
2006 509k
2007 669k
2008 811k

Lets face it X1 is no 360 in US.  

So how in the hell does anyone see X1 braking 1m in November, it took 360 6 years to break 1million in Nov sales in the US. You all just disregard history and run with hopes ? By the way PS3 never broke 1m in Nov in US, yet X1 will do it its second year. Ohh Please.

Even my 700k might have been to generous. You all influenced me with all this crazy unsubstantiated optimism.

Ugh, I've already told you. Retailer habits have changed since those days and November is a lot more concentrated for sales now. And before you trot out some excuse about high priced consoles, this goes for the entire retailer industry.

So sales now are triple if not quadruple for Nov.

Yes, go check the last few years.

2012 saw Oct to Nov increase five-fold, 2013 was quadruple.

And MS has never been this aggressive in a November before, it's the first time the console has had a price cut in November, it's usually August or September

2012:
Sep - 270,000
Oct - 270,000
Nov - 1,260,000
Dec - 1,400,000

XB1 is already beating the Sep figure.


Guess what, much has to do with price.  Black friday deals work better at 200 then 350ish, its where the masses of the lower income level get their goods.  An xbox that touches 400 after taxes will not do as much as a 200 dollar one.  

You are expecting X1 to achive the sales of a 200$ if not less then that 360, it is comical.  

Even with the higly inflated sept numbers of 280k, X1 would have to increases sales 5 fold sept to Nov in its second year to do what many are predicting.  

Nuts is the word.  



Seece on 27 October 2014
Aphelion said:
Seece said:

Yes, go check the last few years.

2012 saw Oct to Nov increase five-fold, 2013 was quadruple.

And MS has never been this aggressive in a November before, it's the first time the console has had a price cut in November, it's usually August or September

2012:
Sep - 270,000
Oct - 270,000
Nov - 1,260,000
Dec - 1,400,000

XB1 is already beating the Sep figure.


Guess what, much has to do with price.  Black friday deals work better at 200 then 350ish, its where the masses of the lower income level get their goods.  An xbox that touches 400 after taxes will not do as much as a 200 dollar one.  

You are expecting X1 to achive the sales of a 200$ if not less then that 360, it is comical.  

Even with the higly inflated sept numbers of 280k, X1 would have to increases sales 5 fold sept to Nov in its second year to do what many are predicting.  

Nuts is the word.  

No dude, you're disregarding research done over the entire industry, this is backdated to previous generations even.



 

Aphelion on 28 October 2014
Seece said:
Aphelion said:
Seece said:

Yes, go check the last few years.

2012 saw Oct to Nov increase five-fold, 2013 was quadruple.

And MS has never been this aggressive in a November before, it's the first time the console has had a price cut in November, it's usually August or September

2012:
Sep - 270,000
Oct - 270,000
Nov - 1,260,000
Dec - 1,400,000

XB1 is already beating the Sep figure.


Guess what, much has to do with price.  Black friday deals work better at 200 then 350ish, its where the masses of the lower income level get their goods.  An xbox that touches 400 after taxes will not do as much as a 200 dollar one.  

You are expecting X1 to achive the sales of a 200$ if not less then that 360, it is comical.  

Even with the higly inflated sept numbers of 280k, X1 would have to increases sales 5 fold sept to Nov in its second year to do what many are predicting.  

Nuts is the word.  

No dude, you're disregarding research done over the entire industry, this is backdated to previous generations even.

And you are conveniently avoing a few things.

- X1 is not a market leader, it will not sale anywhere enar 360 levels or wiis or even PS2s.  
- It has yet to even finish its first year, such sales are unrealistic for a consoles second November.
- Price matters, X1 costs to much to achieve such massive sales this nov.  

Even the freaking wii took untill it 3rd Nov to break 1m, PS3 never actually did it and X1 is more like it in the marletplace then the 360.  

But X1 will do the unthinkable and break records ? Xbox1s own history is even agianst such a thing happening, its previous "cut" and all the bundles and free games all failed to achive massive hardware bumps.  

Then the most damming aspect of all, its still competing with the PS4 for sales.  And here it always fails, but maybe hell.  If you see have PS4 selling well north of 2 million in Nov NDp.  If the market is so heathly it can do that.  Then yes X1 has a shot at + 1million in Nov NDP.  PS4 X1 wiiu selling + 4million in Nov NDp would be one hell of a stunning sight.  



Angelv577 on 28 October 2014

650k



prinz_valium on 28 October 2014
Aphelion said:

Xbox 360 first 4 Novembers sales (vgc)

2005 305k
2006 509k
2007 669k
2008 811k

Lets face it X1 is no 360 in US.  

So how in the hell does anyone see X1 braking 1m in November, it took 360 6 years to break 1million in Nov sales in the US. You all just disregard history and run with hopes ? By the way PS3 never broke 1m in Nov in US, yet X1 will do it its second year. Ohh Please.

Even my 700k might have been to generous. You all influenced me with all this crazy unsubstantiated optimism.


launch november was 900k
a frist (full) year drop MoM is unusal, too

thats why many expect 1m+
include all the cheap bundles and mcc in ur thoughts, and u can come to that conclusion.

btw there are may, who think ps4 will sell 4m+ in november worldwide (thats something no console ever managed)