Intrinsic said:
walsufnir said:
OttoniBastos said:
imho xone is slowing becoming a niche machine like WiiU.Basically if you like Xbox games,you already have the machine(or plan to pick it up anyway),thus,the games don't move enough HW even when the software is on fire.
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There are more than 80 million 360 users and currently about 17 million people who bought a next-gen system, and this is leaving out PS3 owners who bought a PS4. I see there is quite a big crowd that can still move on to either or both systems, about 145 million people that is.
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That is not a very smart way to analyse numbers or more specifically "user bases".
Here are some questions to to consider
- How many of those 80M (either on 360/PS3) were multiplatform gamers (had a PS3 +360)
- How many of those people bought more than one console because the first one as defective and just tossed the first one away?
The ebst way to guage an active console user base is actually from looking at software sales across very different genres. Eg, at the time of GTAV release there were over 150M PS360s in the wild. Yet the game sold around 30M copies. Thats seeling to 20% of the total install base. Then you look at gams like COD, GT/Forza, FIFA/Madden...etc and the percentage sell through will give you an idea of just how many people actually have a console that they are using actively.
This active user base indicates those that are most likely to make a jump.
Then you also consider things like how right now both platforms require subscriptions to their services for online play. This will make multiplatform ownership between the two even less likely this generation. No point paying for two online services.
This is not all saying there aren't tens of millions of people still waiting to jump in, there definately are, just that its not as black and white as you make it sound.
Also somemore thinsg to consider.
- Its not like the PS4 was released a year before the XB1, they were released within a week of eachother depending on regions. But some how in just under a year the PS4 has already managed to double its lead of the XB1. The interesting thing about that ties into the next point,
- The people that are buying consoles now are the early adopter and the hardcore gamers. The casuals have not jumped in yet. The people buying now are the loyalists or those that are switching loyalties. And so far that is all playing in favor of the PS4 and this ties into the last point,
- The casuals basically buy what everyone else is buying or what they are told by the hardcore is the best thing to buy. Word of mouth is what sells consoles to the casuals more than everything. They walk into theri friends room and see that friend playing on a new console and thats wht they go out to buy. These people are not loyal to any platform. Thats why Playstation could lose over 50% of its market share from PS2 to PS3. The more of points (1) and (2) we have, the more point (3) will happen. This has been the case for every single console in history.
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Then again you completely let out Wii numbers which also have to be considered.
I just wanted to put in some more perspective and it doesn't mean there are no multi console owners there already and there won't be.
But these are numbers we can't be certain of. In the end there is still a great number of potential customers which haven't decided yet (like me 
) and the future is not already set and it's good it isn't, for the sake of competition.
