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Forums - Nintendo - Wii platinum sellers watch

Thx guys. Yea I usually do these kinda things for the individual games in theire sections but seems better here.

As you can see a lot of Wii games are on the verge of platinum if the E/O sales get there.

I'm about to start working on games going for gold. But hope yall like my writeup for the platinums.



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Alright time for games going for the gold.  Already did the titles that have a chance at platinum that are over 500k.  The ones over 500k that I didn't do I consider having absolutely no chance or have complete data so need to mention them.

These titles are under that of 500k and are looking to get the gold status.  For all titles I'll include if they have shots at going platinum as well... some I'll give some depth to that too.  Titles under 500k that I don't do I either consider have no chance or I simply don't know enough about the game and its sales to comment on it.

 

Sonic Riders: Zero Gravity- Currently at 460,000.  Selling about 10k a week with 5k in Americas and E/O.  Dead in Japan.  As close as it is, title still has some distance.  Seems to be losing some steam.  Some wonder though if its been undertracked in Europe considering all titles with Sonic in it so far on Wii have done better in Europe/Other.  While possible I don't think probable considering the charts never showed this as a big seller.  But it'll take some patience, but eventually this will go gold.

Gold Shipment Probability- 100%(already there)

Gold Sales Probability- 99%

Platinum Sales Probability- 1%(would need a miracle)

Spiderman: The Movie 3- Currently at 450,000.  Title is dead in the water in Americas.  It has no Japanese sales but it's doubtful it would have sold well over there.  Possibly enough to give it 10k to up it one spot.  In E/O the sales are fixed and put there awhile back.  However its unlikely that sales would be adjusted that much higher considering the game would only be hot during the movie's release and then retail release.  But I think its safe to say that E/O sales might be a little big higher.  Possibly around 200k now. 

Gold Shipment Probability- 100%(already there)

Gold Sales Probability- 90%

Platinum Sales Probability- 0%

Madden NFL 07- Currently at 450,000.  Dead in the water. E/O sales if it ever released there would be too minimal to matter.  Shipments are probably close to sales considering how long its been out. 

Gold Shipment Probability- 20%

Gold Sales Probability- 0%

Platinum Sales Probability- 0%

Donkey Kong: Barrel Blast- Currently at 440,000.  Dead in Japan.  Dead in America.  Selling about 2.5k weekly in E/O.  Would take a lot to push sales over 500,000.  At current rates probably 460,000 by holidays, and 480,000 by the end of holidays.  Possibly very slow progression of 1,000 WW over the year would push it over.  It's a longshot but probable. 

Gold Shipment Probability- 75%

Gold Sales Probability- 25%

Platinum Sales Probability- 0%

Ghost Squad- Currently at 420,000.  Dead in Japan.  Selling about 1.5k each in E/O and Americas.  Essentially dead.  Being 80,000 away and little hopes for sufficient increases during the holidays... not to mention being clouded by new releases this title would be lucky to saty at 3k WW til holidays.  Most likely end its lifecycle at about 450k when everything is said and done. 

Gold Shipment Probability- 35%

Gold Sales Probability- 5%

Platinum Sales Probability- 0%

Zack and Wiki: Quest for Barbados Treasure- Currently at 400,000.  Dead in Japan and E/O.  3k a week in the Americas.  Needs 100,000 but that would take more than 30 weeks at this rate.  Title will more than likely get overshadowed this holiday season so even if it does survive til then it would only gain minimal increases.  Title has survived a long time, but it's time is short.  Will probably end at about 420,000.

Gold Shipment Probability- 15%

Gold Sales Probability- 1%

Platinum Sales Probability- 0%

Dragonball Z: Budokai Tenkaichi 2- Currently at 400,000.  Dead in Japan. Dead in America.  However E/O sales haven't been adjusted in I don't know how long.  It's been awhile.  However considering its "sequel" 's sale I think it's safe to say those numbers are probably off.  Possibility of it being 100k off is probable.

Gold Shipment Probability- 90%

Gold Sales Probability- 75%

Platinum Sales Probability- 0%

Call of Duty 3- Currently at 370,000.  Dead in the Americas.  But there are no E/O sales.  Following in the footsteps of Red Steel and being a launch title would suggest this title sold decent in E/O.  Probably around 200k would be my guess given how long it would have been out in an uncontested market for its genre.

Gold Shipment Probability- 100%

Gold Sales Probability- 100%

Platinum Sales Probability- 0%

Happy Feet- Currently at 360,000.  Dead in America.  E/O sales are fixed and been there for awhile.  But there is nothing to suggest that updates would put it too much higher than it already is at.  Possibly up to 300k in E/O which would put finishing sales at 400k.  Title would be dead in the water there.  Chances are slim of going gold.

Gold Shipment Probability- 10%

Gold Sales Probability- 0%

Platinum Sales Probability- 0%

We Ski- Currently at 350,000.  Dying in Japan but should be able to sell enough to go up another 10k.  Still going very strong in America.  About 20k a week.  However we should notice no European sales.  Well that's not true.  Just has a different name in Europe called Family Ski which according to our database is at 60k in sales and selling about 8k a week.  So sales are at 410,000 actually and in a 3-4 weeks this title will go gold no problem.

Gold Shipment Probability- 100%

Gold Sales Probability- 100%

(Now as for platinum of the title is a little trickier.  It's showing decent legs in America but the rest of the world is fading out.  I don't know if it can go platinum simply by American sales but it'll become more known as soon as we see how this title does in Holidays.)

Platinum Sales Probability- 25%

Boogie- Currently at 350,000.  Selling about 5k a week in America... but has a sequel releasing soon which will stop that.  However this title of course has no E/O sales.  It's safe to say that at least 150,000 units of this game were sold in E/O considering the charts and trends. 

Gold Shipment Probability- 100%

Gold Sales Probability- 100%

Platinum Sales Probability- 0%(sequel will prevent legs going any further)

Need for Speed: Carbon- Currently at 320,000.  Dead in America and Japan.  However once again no E/O sales.  Considering that ProStreet on Wii sold the best in E/O youwould think so would this title.  However being a launch title things are always different.  Looking at the charts this title probably got overshadowed at launch and didn't have decent legs.  My guesses would be E/O sales are around 120,000.  However my studies of this title in E/O are limited so really this is just a guess based on trends for the Wii's launch there.

Gold Shipment Probability- 40%

Gold Sales Probability- 10%

Platinum Sales Probability- 0%

Boom Blox- Currently at 290,000.  Selling about 15k a week majority in America.  Showing strong legs there while E/O version is fading off.  This title though if it can last til the holidays in Americas will see huge returns. Possibly a 50k week alone in the Americas during the peak of holidays.  However its a longshot once again with a lot of games releasing these next few months for Wii. 

Gold Shipment Probability- 60%

Gold Sales Probability- 40%

Platinum Sales Probability- 5%

Guitar Hero: Aerosmith- Currently at 270,000.  Selling well in America and showing strong legs.  Will probably level off to about 25k a week in Americas until World Tour releases.  In E/O the title is on and off.  However considering the odd trends of GHIII on Wii in that region I won't count it out yet.  However this title is destined to eventually hit gold status.

Gold Shipment Probability- 100%

Gold Sales Probability- 100%

Platinum Sales Probability- 25%(GH:WT will probably knock it down too far to have strong enough legs to go the distance)

Rock Band- Currently at 250,000.  Probably going to do about 20k-30k up until GH:WT and then eventually Rock Band 2 which will knock it down.  However should sustain decent sales within that time.  Another 10 weeks of 20k and its at 400k.  Title should have no problem getting to 500k.

Gold Shipment Probability- 100%

Gold Sales Probability- 95%

Platinum Sales Probability- 55%(it's really a tough one considering Rock Band 2 releasing on Wii later this year.  But I think in an odd way it might boost its sales for those waiting to get Rock Band 2 and use the instruments to play the first one.  Might just carry the title with it at sort of an expansion pack.)

Medal of Honor: Heroes 2-  Currently at 220,000.  Dead in Japan and America.  I have a feeling though that our American sales are off considering I just don't see how this title could have done that abysmal.  Although its possible it got lost in the holidays.  Some titles have that happen especially if ya don't get enough decent advertising.  However main thing is no E/O sales and it probably did decent in that territory.  My guesses are another 250,000 there alone but its probably dead there as well.  So with 470,000 in sales it's hard to say if those short stub of legs will give it the extra 300k.  But its definetly there in shipments.

Gold Shipment Probability- 80%

Gold Sales Probability- 40%

Platinum Sales Probability- 5%

 

 

That's all for now.  I might go back and do a few others when I feel more comfortable.  Next section will be just predictions on unreleased titles.



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End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)

Wii- 72 million   3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases

360- 37 million   Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak

PS3- 29 million  Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut

I think Boom Blox has a better chance at platinum than you give it credit for... I would say more like 50/50....

#1 it has legs in NA, that is huge
#2 it still has a 50 dollar price tag. Most of the BIG selling 3rd Party, party games on the Wii are not full priced. Once it is lowered to 29.99 it will sell like Carnival Games, I suspect that EA will drop the price for the ass parents in the holiday.

I have seen 3 or 4 times a parent buy Game Party just for its price... It has steven spielburg, it has decent marketing.

#3 There is always the chance ioi is undertracking it in others, games that drop out of the top 30 list are hard to track in others because sometimes in UK for example the difference between #20 and #40 is only like 5k...

Call me crazy, but Boom Blow has potential to pass 1 million. Maybe even as much as 1.5 million.



End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)

Wii- 72 million   3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases

360- 37 million   Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak

PS3- 29 million  Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut

Just my thoughts on it. Remember just my discretion. All probabilities as I said are under the thought that the current numbers are within range. Although I will mention if I personally think somehting is being undertracked such is with the case WWE 08 and MOHH2 in the Americas.

I also think NFS Prostreet in Americas had been undertracked considering it was the only mainstream game on the Wii that had not so good sales. Just seems a little wierd but oh well.



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High School Musical: Sing It! turned platinum.

27 million sellers now for Wii, Smarty Pants only 50k away and selling about 10k weekly.

We Ski went Gold, but the thing is it's named under Family Ski in others where it sold 100k, but the game doesn't appear on the database. 100k in Others + 400k in Japan + US.



Proud poster of the 10000th reply at the Official Smash Bros Update Thread.

tag - "I wouldn't trust gamespot, even if it was a live comparison."

Bets with Conegamer:

Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
Pandora's Tower will sell less than 100k lifetime in Japan.
Stakes: 1 week of avatar control for each one.

Fullfilled Prophecies

trestres said:
High School Musical: Sing It! turned platinum.

27 million sellers now for Wii, Smarty Pants only 50k away and selling about 10k weekly.

We Ski went Gold, but the thing is it's named under Family Ski in others where it sold 100k, but the game doesn't appear on the database. 100k in Others + 400k in Japan + US.

 

28.  For some reason Links CrossBow Training had it's sales reduced to 0.



The rEVOLution is not being televised

Oh well then 29 soon :)



Proud poster of the 10000th reply at the Official Smash Bros Update Thread.

tag - "I wouldn't trust gamespot, even if it was a live comparison."

Bets with Conegamer:

Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
Pandora's Tower will sell less than 100k lifetime in Japan.
Stakes: 1 week of avatar control for each one.

Fullfilled Prophecies

29.

Welcome Smarty Pants to the platinum club.

 

 

Boom Blox is Gold.



The rEVOLution is not being televised

So who's next in line?



Tag - "No trolling on my watch!"