I think Boom Blox has a better chance at platinum than you give it credit for... I would say more like 50/50....
#1 it has legs in NA, that is huge
#2 it still has a 50 dollar price tag. Most of the BIG selling 3rd Party, party games on the Wii are not full priced. Once it is lowered to 29.99 it will sell like Carnival Games, I suspect that EA will drop the price for the ass parents in the holiday.
I have seen 3 or 4 times a parent buy Game Party just for its price... It has steven spielburg, it has decent marketing.
#3 There is always the chance ioi is undertracking it in others, games that drop out of the top 30 list are hard to track in others because sometimes in UK for example the difference between #20 and #40 is only like 5k...
Call me crazy, but Boom Blow has potential to pass 1 million. Maybe even as much as 1.5 million.
End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)
Wii- 72 million 3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases
360- 37 million Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak
PS3- 29 million Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut
