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Forums - Sales - Is it possible for PS4 to cross 17 million mark by 2014

tak13 on 05 August 2014
DerNebel said:
prinz_valium said:
DerNebel said:

It's not a new Halo, it's the old Halos, big difference.

And the reason that the PS4 will do much better than the PS3 in 2008 has 3 letters: U.S.A. that market is the most important one in the holidays. Go back and look at how poorly the PS3 did in the US back then, it sold a measily 175k in the US on black friday in 2008. The PS4 is going to absolutely crush that number, because, if you haven't noticed yet, the US is in love with the PS4.

Also we can bet for sig control or something.

and on the other hand much worse in japan.

 

and what about the march - july sales. these already include the much better usa sales in comparison to the p3.

 

this is the point: the better appeal of the ps4 does not only apply in the holiday season. it already does in its sales figures right now.

without the better attraction in the usa we would have 400k summer months. not 500k ones...

so question again. why woul the increase in this case be so much bigger?

 

 

okay deal honey

>15m u win

<15m i win

 

vgc numbers or offical or sales figures, if we got one

 

 

Yeah wow, Japan's going to make the difference here... in Nov+Dec 2008 the PS3 only sold about 300k units in Japan, even if we assume that the PS4 will only sell about 100k in those months in Japan this year, then that's a difference that will probably easy be made up by the black friday difference in the US alone.

The better appeal in the US is massively more important in the holidays then it is in the rest of the year. To give an example, let's look at 2008 again, this is what the PS3 and 360 had sold in 2008 at the end of October:

PS3: 6.8m

360: 5.9m

and where did both systems end up for 2008?

PS3: 10.2m

360: 10.8m

What happened? Mainly the holidays in the US, the 360 was so much more popular in the US that it managed to still overtake the PS3 for the year thanks to the holidays.

But sure sweetheart let's bet.

What you wanna bet? 1 month of sig control?

sig control?hahahahahhaha dernebel you re mischievous!!!!!!on my sig i estimate 14-16---so the average...15m,but i feel it will hit 16...and if destiny will have the impact tha mk8 had for wii u...17 -18is probable...anyway destiny effect is questionable ,for how big will be....the bold prediction,by the end of august ps4 would be 9.5 sept 900k-oct the 800k,nove dec 2013/2014 2.1m+900K 2.3+1.2  =17.7,but for me this will happen, by the end of august  9.5 sept 850k oct  750K  nov 2.6dec 3.2=16M 



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gcube2000 on 05 August 2014
BeElite said:
TreeTurtle said:
It probably won't even hit 15m.


lol

even undertracked it at 9m already

selling 6m in sept/oct/nov/Dec for the market domminating console is childs play.  


It most likely won't be above 15 million. Probably right at 15 million. 4.41 million of that 9 million came from holidays. Has sold 4.48 million January-July. 2.46 million came from the first 3 months. 2.02 million came from the last 4 months. PS4 isn't selling as fast as it used to. I'm aware Destiny is coming and that will help it sell 2 million the next 3 months. and about 4 million during holidays seems like a realistic number. So 6 million more this year will be the most likely what's going to happen. Not Childs play. PS4 isn't the Wii. The Wii sold over 1 million nearly every month of 2007. The PS4 hasn't gone over a million in a month this year.



DerNebel on 05 August 2014
tak13 said:
DerNebel said:

Yeah wow, Japan's going to make the difference here... in Nov+Dec 2008 the PS3 only sold about 300k units in Japan, even if we assume that the PS4 will only sell about 100k in those months in Japan this year, then that's a difference that will probably easy be made up by the black friday difference in the US alone.

The better appeal in the US is massively more important in the holidays then it is in the rest of the year. To give an example, let's look at 2008 again, this is what the PS3 and 360 had sold in 2008 at the end of October:

PS3: 6.8m

360: 5.9m

and where did both systems end up for 2008?

PS3: 10.2m

360: 10.8m

What happened? Mainly the holidays in the US, the 360 was so much more popular in the US that it managed to still overtake the PS3 for the year thanks to the holidays.

But sure sweetheart let's bet.

What you wanna bet? 1 month of sig control?

sig control?hahahahahhaha dernebel you re mischievous!!!!!!on my sig i estimate 14-16---so the average...15m,but i feel it will hit 16...and if destiny will have the impact tha mk8 had for wii u...17 -18is probable...anyway destiny effect is questionable ,for how big will be....the bold prediction,by the end of august ps4 would be 9.5 sept 900k-oct the 800k,nove dec 2013/2014 2.1m+900K 2.3+1.2  =17.7,but for me this will happen, by the end of august  9.5 sept 850k oct  750K  nov 2.6dec 3.2=16M 

Jesus man, you really need to start putting smoe paragraphs in posts like these, very hard to read otherwise.

Sig bets are pretty much the only thing we can do around here.



goulibouli on 05 August 2014
bubblegamer said:
goulibouli said:
Nope, impossible, rather 12-14millions mark at most


12 million? So it's gonna sell 3 million in 5 months, including holidays, while it managed almost 5 in non holiday months? Yeah you have no idea what you're talking about.

You look so smart on your avatar...

Moderated,

-Mr Khan

BeElite said:
goulibouli said:
Nope, impossible, rather 12-14millions mark at most


lol QT for future fun.

...quote me, I just happen to work in a trend cabinet, my job is to analyze scenario of the future.

It will have reach 12/14m BEFORE Holiday, unless I didn't understand the OP. After the Holiday, then maybe it'll hit the 16-17m mark depending on the fall line-up.



tak13 on 05 August 2014
DerNebel said:
tak13 said:

sig control?hahahahahhaha dernebel you re mischievous!!!!!!on my sig i estimate 14-16---so the average...15m,but i feel it will hit 16...and if destiny will have the impact tha mk8 had for wii u...17 -18is probable...anyway destiny effect is questionable ,for how big will be....the bold prediction,by the end of august ps4 would be 9.5 sept 900k-oct the 800k,nove dec 2013/2014 2.1m+900K 2.3+1.2  =17.7,but for me this will happen, by the end of august  9.5 sept 850k oct  750K  nov 2.6dec 3.2=16M 

Jesus man, you really need to start putting smoe paragraphs in posts like these, very hard to read otherwise.

Sig bets are pretty much the only thing we can do around here.

i dont think so:P you cant read plain sentences?



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DerNebel on 05 August 2014
goulibouli said:
bubblegamer said:
goulibouli said:
Nope, impossible, rather 12-14millions mark at most


12 million? So it's gonna sell 3 million in 5 months, including holidays, while it managed almost 5 in non holiday months? Yeah you have no idea what you're talking about.

You look so smart on your avatar...

BeElite said:
goulibouli said:
Nope, impossible, rather 12-14millions mark at most


lol QT for future fun.

...quote me, I just happen to work in a trend cabinet, my job is to analyze scenario of the future.

It will have reach 12/14m BEFORE Holiday, unless I didn't understand the OP. After the Holiday, then maybe it'll hit the 16-17m mark depending on the fall line-up.

Big whoop, so does Pachter.



Danman27 on 05 August 2014

It's within the realm of possibility, but I'd say it's pretty unlikely.



BeElite on 05 August 2014
gcube2000 said:
BeElite said:
TreeTurtle said:
It probably won't even hit 15m.


lol

even undertracked it at 9m already

selling 6m in sept/oct/nov/Dec for the market domminating console is childs play.  


It most likely won't be above 15 million. Probably right at 15 million. 4.41 million of that 9 million came from holidays. Has sold 4.48 million January-July. 2.46 million came from the first 3 months. 2.02 million came from the last 4 months. PS4 isn't selling as fast as it used to. I'm aware Destiny is coming and that will help it sell 2 million the next 3 months. and about 4 million during holidays seems like a realistic number. So 6 million more this year will be the most likely what's going to happen. Not Childs play. PS4 isn't the Wii. The Wii sold over 1 million nearly every month of 2007. The PS4 hasn't gone over a million in a month this year.

Childs play unless the market implodes.  It freaking has 5 months to do it, and its nearest competitor is fumbling about.

Wii had its system seller on day one, PS4s are coming next year. And it costs what, 150 more right.

PS4 is the console of this gen right now, it will get bumped by big games not x1, its is leading markets and will benfit from biggest holiday bumps.  And the games are coming.  Already it sold what it has based on ? no major exclusive hell not one major game yet.   

Next couple of months is a flood of games.



BeElite on 05 August 2014
DerNebel said:

 

BeElite said:
goulibouli said:
Nope, impossible, rather 12-14millions mark at most


lol QT for future fun.

...quote me, I just happen to work in a trend cabinet, my job is to analyze scenario of the future.

It will have reach 12/14m BEFORE Holiday, unless I didn't understand the OP. After the Holiday, then maybe it'll hit the 16-17m mark depending on the fall line-up.

Big whoop, so does Pachter.


LMAO that line killed it, best laugh i had in a while. 



gcube2000 on 05 August 2014
BeElite said:
gcube2000 said:
BeElite said:
TreeTurtle said:
It probably won't even hit 15m.


lol

even undertracked it at 9m already

selling 6m in sept/oct/nov/Dec for the market domminating console is childs play.  


It most likely won't be above 15 million. Probably right at 15 million. 4.41 million of that 9 million came from holidays. Has sold 4.48 million January-July. 2.46 million came from the first 3 months. 2.02 million came from the last 4 months. PS4 isn't selling as fast as it used to. I'm aware Destiny is coming and that will help it sell 2 million the next 3 months. and about 4 million during holidays seems like a realistic number. So 6 million more this year will be the most likely what's going to happen. Not Childs play. PS4 isn't the Wii. The Wii sold over 1 million nearly every month of 2007. The PS4 hasn't gone over a million in a month this year.

Childs play unless the market implodes.  It freaking has 5 months to do it, and its nearest competitor is fumbling about.

Wii had its system seller on day one, PS4s are coming next year. And it costs what, 150 more right.

PS4 is the console of this gen right now, it will get bumped by big games not x1, its is leading markets and will benfit from biggest holiday bumps.  And the games are coming.  Already it sold what it has based on ? no major exclusive hell not one major game yet.   

Next couple of months is a flood of games.


mhmm a flood of multi plats. and a few exclusives. An if PS4 hasn't had a big game yet then what was all that shit about infamous: second sun being all hyped up back before its release. Killzone was apparently "the shit" when the PS4 launched. Knack was overrated.  besides all this stuff we're arguing about I don't think its reall logical for the PS4 to sell nearly double of what's been sold so far. I think that 15 million is just what is most likely. not that 17 million couldn't happen.. just unlikely. Anyways lets see what happens and forget about this because this argument isn't going to prove anything.