By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Gaming - How Much Will Xbox One lead Wii U by the End of the Year?

Frogger on 21 June 2014

I reserve judgement until after the XBO boost sales come in next week.



Around the Network
Welfare on 21 June 2014

200k



Won bet with t3mporary_126 - I correctly predicted that the Wii U's LTD at the end of 2014 would be closer to 9 million than 10 million. http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6673287

WolfpackN64 on 21 June 2014

Xbox One will lead Wii U by -2 million by the end of the year (in other words, it wont)



DietSoap on 21 June 2014

I think this year it'll be tough thanks to Smash and MK8. I expect this to be the Wii U's biggest year, its last big hurrah.

I think it can MAYBE end up tying it at best. Lifetime I expect it to double or even triple the Wii U, though.



DarkRPGamer007 on 21 June 2014

XB1 has like 2 games coming out, all the others being outshined by the PS4 so I think Wii U will stay ahead at least for this year.



XBOX ONE/Wii U/3DS/PC

RIP Iwata 12/6/1959-7/11/2015

Thanks for all the great memories!

Around the Network
*Sound Of Rain on 21 June 2014

Wii U > XBO at the end of 2014

Not because of Wii U selling amazing but because both won't massively out due the other.

Wii U is currently ahead, therefor, it will stay ahead.



Teeqoz on 21 June 2014
toastboy44562 said:
Aielyn said:
At this point last year, Wii U was at 3.1 million units. By the end of the year, it was at about 5.4 million units. So it grew by roughly 74%.

At the equivalent point in the Xbox 360's life, it was at 3.5 million units. By the end of the year, it was at 8 million units. Growth of roughly 128%.

At the equivalent point in the PS3's life, it was at 3.7 million units. By the end of the year, it was at 9.2 million units. Growth of roughly 149%.

For Wii, the corresponding numbers were 8.3 million, 19.5 million, and 135%.

At this point, Xbox One is at 4.6 million units. For it to reach 11 million, it has to grow by 139% (183% for 13 million). Note that the Wii was massively supply constrained, and PS3 had been out for less than three months in its traditionally-strong region of Europe at the time.

So to be honest, I find it unlikely, given news from E3, that Xbox One will achieve such growth. I'd suggest that a reasonable prediction would be something similar to that observed with the 360 - about 128% growth, putting it around 10.5 million.

On the other hand, there seems to be a fair bit of new momentum for Wii U due to MK8 and Smash. In 2008, from June to December, Wii saw roughly a boost of 56% in total sales, and that was with huge earlier momentum. If we suppose a boost of 70% for Wii U (thereby accounting for the fact that Wii U didn't have momentum beforehand, whereas Wii did), then Wii U would be somewhere around 10.7 million units.

My conclusion? I could see them coming remarkably close to the same numbers. I could also see either one getting ahead of the other, but it all depends on how well the various releases help drive sales. For Wii U, the general lack of momentum is the concern that could see it lag behind the XBO. For XBO, it's the fact that it has high levels of overlap with PS4 in its game lineup, thus potentially seeing PS4 stealing sales that it would otherwise have received.


Youre forgetting Xbox One will have a price cut. that should make a larger % increase than the 360. Also Xbox One has huge franchises coming to xbox one that were not popular or did not come on xbox 360 in 2006. Minecraft, call of duty, gta5, assassins creed, halo 1, halo 2, halo 3, halo 4, halo 5 beta, Destiny, sunset overdrive, forzas horizons, fable legends beta, more indies than 360, dance evolution, elder scrolls online (i think). Titanfall and watchdogs are still system sellers as well. Xbox One will also be released in 55 more countries. Expect exponentional growth for Xbox One!

1. It is not getting a price cut, it's unbundling the kinect. Wait and see how big of an impact this will have on sales, it's not long until we'll know XBOs new baseline.

2. The PS4 eats massivelly into the system sales the XBO otherwise would get from 3rd party software. i'm not saying 3rd parties won't sell any XBO's, but they will be lower than otherwise.

3. Also the Wii U has Smash Bros releasing this fall. That will move a ton of Wii U's for sure.

4. The Wii U still has a 1.7 million lead.

5. Those 55 countries are insignificant compared to the countries it already has released in. Fore example, alot of these countries are small countries in Europe (including my home country, Norway,) where either a) The PS4 will get almost all sales anyway, and/or b) the population is so small that it won't make any difference. So don't expect exponential growth, expect moderate growth from both XBO and Wii U



LordPhil on 21 June 2014
prinz_valium said:
i love to see so many people being wrong.
holiday will suprise u all.


all xbox one doom perediction is based on 2 month of poor "summer" sales... (april, and may)
20 more countrys dont count
all the exklusiv doesnt count
holiday bumps only for wii u and ps4, becaus no one likes this crap shit of hardware calles xbox one


i look forward to see xbox one win november and dezember npd :)


Nope, that honor goes to the ps4 lol

Crosses fingers 



PattonFiend on 21 June 2014
toastboy44562 said:

I say at least 2 million. Wii U will hit around 9 million by years end. Xbox One should be at 11-13 million.


It should lead by about negative 2 million units.

 

For us laymen, that would mean it will not be leading and this could only happen in Rod Serling's Twilight Zone.

 

Hopefully I was able to clarify everything within my first two sentences.



deviliscry on 21 June 2014

-12 mill till not surpass wii u