I was just thinking how unpredictable the core can be with big games like these no matter the install base leading in. How much do you guys think Smash U will sell lifetime?

4-5 million, probably.

Alright, poll is up.

Im going with 12 million+... Its pretty much a celebration of the history of video games...

6 million

Seems a little pessimistic imo so far...

Just for a bit of reference:

Brawl sold 12 million on an installbase of 101 million
Melee sold 7 million on an installbase of 21 million
64 sold 5.5 million on an installbase of 32 million

The series clearly isn't as predictable as Mario Kart, and is more core centric so the growth from Brawl is more likely to carry over than the growth in MK Wii imo.

Well according to the site the last one on the Wii did 12.17, if we are just talking about the Wii U, and I do believe only the more hardcore are going to bother with it and that the 3DS version will canabalize sales. I would say it's going to do about 4.25 million lifetime on the Wii U.

5 million.

6 million

Anywhere from 5 to 7 Million. I don't think the 3DS version will have any cannibalistic effect on the Wii U version, just that the series is going back to GameCube levels of popularity. There's absolutely no chance of it getting remotely close to Brawl.

It could, however, reach 12 Million combined.