bwahah.. on one hand, one side says no numbers = disappointment regardless what EA says.. basis? on low npd numbers and low install base compared to other 3rd party IPs. The other side says no numbers = success because that's what EA says... basis? TF was in a unique situation and that's what EA said. Lol.. here's the facts..
EA thought the PS4 was going to flop = TF exclusivity (http://www.cinemablend.com/games/Titanfall-Was-Exclusive-Xbox-Because-EA-Thought-Xbox-One-Would-Dominate-61946.html). EA's CFO made a comment that the exclusivity deal struck up due to gen7 market analysis. They thought the X1 was going to blow the PS4 in sales.
How do we know it was before gen8 console launch? 10/30/13 - Media broke the news that exclusivity deal in place to ensure the ps4 never sees TF. (http://www.forbes.com/sites/insertcoin/2013/10/30/microsoft-ensures-titanfall-will-never-come-to-sonys-ps4/).
Why did EA & MS think they had a hit on their hands? Because of all the freakin previews and gloating about TF in the summer/fall of 2013. (custom google search Titanfall preview between 1/2013 & 10/2013). touted as the show at gamescom, eg expo, E3, etc.
Sure.. you can say they weren't seriously expecting TF to outsell BF or COD, but you would think that they weren't expecting less than what they are selling now. Even Patcher (yes, i know) believes EA's expectations were between the 6-10 mil unit range (http://www.igameresponsibly.com/2014/01/09/michael-pachter-forecasts-titanfall-sales-and-eas-expectations-for-the-title/)... then to come out of the gate with a low gamer base, you know EA had to pull back their realistic expectations for TF sales. And as 4 months moved on and NPD has retail for x1 as under 1 mil and the 360 as a little over .5 mil, I mean seriously? You think digital sales = 100% of retail sales? at most, TF is close to breaking 2 mil (over/under for retail+digital sales) on all platforms in 4 months. Sure EA can say TF sales have met expectations without giving you a number, but at the same time, expectations were probably pulled back due to seeing the ps4 outsell the xb1 almost 2:1 7 months in, the ps4 outselling x1 on TF launch month, and seeing other 3rd party IPs outsell SW on PS4 vs X1. With all that hype and promo build up prior to launch, you'd almost expect TF was going to blow away the FPS scene and sell millions.. it hardly made a dent and most TF communities are already dwindling down. PC community is basically dead. X1 and 360 gamers are going back to COD. Good luck on even getting to 4 mil unit sales range with a dying community.
Spin it all you want, but the facts are there. TF exclusivity was sold because EA gambled wrong. Had jack to due with MS funding or TF's "unique" position. Knowing you had the makers of the original COD MW1 & MW2 making TF , the huge dudebro shooter crowd, and massive hype and ads months before launch, only to sell ~2 mil in 4 months time. Yea.. TF met EA sales expectations alrighty.
Edit: Sometimes it's what EA is not saying that is a true indicator of their expectation. Seriously.. you have a hit on your hands with underwhelming sales.. are you going to publicly say you are disappointed? Especially when a company like MS also sells your games for their platform?