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Forums - Gaming - MK8 WILL keep Wii U at the top of charts for a long time

arcane_chaos on 05 June 2014

These can come back to haunt you, be wary of your predictions



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OfficerRaichu15 on 05 June 2014

agrre accept imo

a console main series pokemon can do wonders(look at 3ds gave it a 240k boost not even during the holidays :P)



Bets:

(Won)Bet with TechoHobbit: He(Techno) says 10 million by January 1,2014 I say 9 million by then. Winner gets 2 weeks of sig control.

(Lost)Bet with kinisking: I say Ps4 will win April NPD while he says Xbox One will win it; winner gets 1 week of avatar control.

Raichu's First Series:

First RPG?

First Fighter?

First Racer?

First Shooter?

First MMO?

First Horror?

Official Ni No Kuni Fanboy:

Familiars Captured:37

Game Beaten: 2 times almost

Times I got teary during some scenes: 3

Frogger on 05 June 2014
Conegamer said:
Think you're being a little optimistic here.

Not only is it not yet at the top of the charts (so how can it stay there?), but also it'll fall below PS4 levels very shortly anyway.


You realize that Mario Kart is a franchize that has legs for years, while Watch_Dogs is a new IP from a company with a history of frontloaded games, right? You realize that the Wii U is selling more this week then the XBO and PS4 were selling combined last week because of it, right? He's definitely being really optimistic, but you're underselling this sales boost WAY too much. The PS4 boost will drop much faster than the Wii U boost, because Watch_Dogs won't have the staying power that Mario Kart 8 will have.



kirby007 on 05 June 2014
Serious_frusting said:
Its not at the top of the charts and I will give you a counter argument and say the Wii U is going to drop like a rock in the coming weeks.

this guy is right



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

Squeezol on 05 June 2014
OfficerRaichu15 said:

agrre accept imo

a console main series pokemon can do wonders(look at 3ds gave it a 240k boost not even during the holidays :P)

Of course! But you do realize that that game isn't going to become a reality, right?



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Squeezol on 05 June 2014
arcane_chaos said:
These can come back to haunt you, be wary of your predictions

Prediction threads are the most scary threads to make..



DélioPT on 05 June 2014

It`s not MK8 that is going to lift Wii U sales, it`s Luigi`s death stare that is going to make people buy the console. or else...



Conegamer on 05 June 2014
spemanig said:
Conegamer said:
Think you're being a little optimistic here.

Not only is it not yet at the top of the charts (so how can it stay there?), but also it'll fall below PS4 levels very shortly anyway.


You realize that Mario Kart is a franchize that has legs for years, while Watch_Dogs is a new IP from a company with a history of frontloaded games, right? You realize that the Wii U is selling more this week then the XBO and PS4 were selling combined last week because of it, right? He's definitely being really optimistic, but you're underselling this sales boost WAY too much. The PS4 boost will drop much faster than the Wii U boost, because Watch_Dogs won't have the staying power that Mario Kart 8 will have.

Yes, I do realize that. So? 

PS4 was at 120k, let's assume it's new baseline will be slightly higher (130k) and will take around a month to drop to that level. Now let's assume Wii U drops 30% next week (highly optimistic but still). You're at 130k already and it's only going to drop from there.

Indeed. Mario Kart will sell for longer and make the bigger difference in the long run. But even if the Wii U's new baseline is doubled to 65k, it's still only half that of the PS4. So the Wii U will drop just too quickly because of where the consoles were before comparitively for the Wii U to stay on top. 



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

Frogger on 05 June 2014
Conegamer said:

Yes, I do realize that. So? 

PS4 was at 120k, let's assume it's new baseline will be slightly higher (130k) and will take around a month to drop to that level. Now let's assume Wii U drops 30% next week (highly optimistic but still). You're at 130k already and it's only going to drop from there.

Indeed. Mario Kart will sell for longer and make the bigger difference in the long run. But even if the Wii U's new baseline is doubled to 65k, it's still only half that of the PS4. So the Wii U will drop just too quickly because of where the consoles were before comparitively for the Wii U to stay on top. 


And who's to say the Wii U's new baseline will be that low. Nintendo obviously strategically coordinated Mario Kart 8's release with E3. Who's to say they won't use the game to begin sales momentum for the console until the end of the year with what they decide to reveal at E3? They did it with the 3DS, and if there was ever a time where they were in a position to do it with the Wii U, it's right now.



Conegamer on 05 June 2014
spemanig said:
Conegamer said:

Yes, I do realize that. So? 

PS4 was at 120k, let's assume it's new baseline will be slightly higher (130k) and will take around a month to drop to that level. Now let's assume Wii U drops 30% next week (highly optimistic but still). You're at 130k already and it's only going to drop from there.

Indeed. Mario Kart will sell for longer and make the bigger difference in the long run. But even if the Wii U's new baseline is doubled to 65k, it's still only half that of the PS4. So the Wii U will drop just too quickly because of where the consoles were before comparitively for the Wii U to stay on top. 


And who's to say the Wii U's new baseline will be that low. Nintendo obviously strategically coordinated Mario Kart 8's release with E3. Who's to say they won't use the game to begin sales momentum for the console until the end of the year with what they decide to reveal at E3? They did it with the 3DS, and if there was ever a time where they were in a position to do it with the Wii U, it's right now.

The baseline will be higher. But it's not going to be anywhere near 100k, one game and a few announcements simply don't have that kind of power. 

And as it's not over 100k, naturally it won't beat the PS4. Doesn't mean it'll be selling badly (as badly), but it's not going to beat the PS4. No shame in that.



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.