I'll get back to you by the absolute latest, March 2015 :)

I think xbox one will be nr2 it stil has a big change for nr1 thou...but veryy unlikely.

Nintendo alone no matter how well they do with their basic IP simply can't replace the entirety of the third party developer community.

Things like the first proper next-gen Madden NFL, FIFA, are just as big for the XBox as Smash Brothers is for the Wii U. And the fact is, the XB1 simply has more impact-making games coming out for it because they have all 3rd parties on deck and XBox buyers primarily buy third party games.

Batman Arkham, Madden NFL, FIFA, Need For Speed, Halo Collection, Sunset Overdrive, Assassin's Creed, Destiny, Call of Duty, etc. are all games that will impact XB1 sales this fall.

Bayonetta 2? X? I doubt it (see: DKC, Pikmin 3 not doing much). The Nintendo fanbase has sadly became a very small audience that doesn't even buy a lot of the software Nintendo themselves pushes out. It's Mario Kart/Smash Bros./Zelda/Mario or nothing in many cases, and those are only a small handful of IP.

Don't forget Xbox Live costs a lot of money.

Nintendo internet connection is Free.

I think E3 show will effect the sales of all three companies.

E3 should be very interesting,

the wii u will win... it has the best 1st party games and the best controlls. cant beat a GC controller, its perfect.
the xbone has the worst 1st party and is just a weaker ps4.

I think it will win first and second place, Wii-U and XOne are like the finaly for third place at this point.

The Wii U will hold 2nd place for about another year or 2 after that I see the xbox one finally surpassing it.

While entirely possible, only fools say with certainty this early in a race.  I wouldn't say PS4 wins 1st play with certainty this early....especially with Sony's financial problems.

Xbox, Gamecube all over again?!?