By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Gaming - Xbox One to overtake PS4 in NA in 2015, says analyst

 

When will X1 overtake PS4 in NA?

2014 26 4.37%
 
First half of 2015 38 6.39%
 
Second half of 2015 48 8.07%
 
2016 onwards 24 4.03%
 
It won't 459 77.14%
 
Total:595
TheDarkLink said:
adriane23 said:
TheDarkLink said:
I'am wondering why everyone purchases a PS4 instead of a XBox One because the XBox One has the better games right now! I hope this will change with the Kinectless XBox One SKU!!!

That's subjective. What isn't subjective is that the PS4 has the better version of multiplats.

OT: I think the X1 will overtake the PS4 in the U.S. by next March or maybe even by the end of this year.


That's not true!!! The PlayStation has not the better versions, the PlayStation has just the higher resolution in games, but this will also change with Direct X12 and the Kinectless SKU. And higher resolution means not that you have a great game, Killzone Shadow Fall as example is just an average game, and even a 4000x 3000 resolution will not make this game better or worse. It's not about the resolution of games, its about the games! I don't care about resolution for myself and I think that Super Mario Bros on the NES is more fun to play than Killzone: Shadow Fall ;)

HOW dare you bring fun into this XD



 "I think people should define the word crap" - Kirby007

Join the Prediction League http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions

Instead of seeking to convince others, we can be open to changing our own minds, and seek out information that contradicts our own steadfast point of view. Maybe it’ll turn out that those who disagree with you actually have a solid grasp of the facts. There’s a slight possibility that, after all, you’re the one who’s wrong.

Around the Network

I doubt it, says forum poster.



I am surprised so many people say it won't. X1 is already outselling ps4, and with the price cut, it will catch up fast.



57 people with rose coloured glasses and counting.....or else they're just trolling. Xbone will eventurally take the sales lead in the U.S market. Most likely scenario is the latter half of 2015, however, depending what exlusives they manage to get out for the end of this year, beggining of next, it could very well manage to surpass the PS4 in NA by then.



" Rebellion Against Tyrants Is Obedience To God"

TheDrill said:
I am surprised so many people say it won't. X1 is already outselling ps4, and with the price cut, it will catch up fast.

No... it's not... 



Around the Network
TheDrill said:
I am surprised so many people say it won't. X1 is already outselling ps4, and with the price cut, it will catch up fast.

While it'll help, sometimes a price cut/change in system may not help (See PS3 at first). While I think in NA the Xbox One could catch the PS4 (it's a decent prediction, first first response in thread) There are a lot of factors that could still hurt the Xbox One. Things like games matter, both PS4 and Xbox One have just had a big game out and more on the way, each with their own small spike.

Xbox One outsold the PS4 in NA this week by 2000 units, 2000 units times 24 month (aka 2016) is only 50k and they are down by 300k. Keep in mind in that time other games will release, both consoles will have a price reductions as costs of manufacturing go down, things like that. Week before that only 1k units, week before that PS4 won. The price reduction bump might only be 5k units, still not enough.

Then there is that one very important thing, maybe, just maybe, less people want the Xbox One. If you are going to spend the money, people will buy what they want not what is cheapest, especially when it comes to games consoles. Many on his site that don't have next gen consoles have already made up their mind what they want, they are just waiting for the correct price. But we are die hard fans, the casual market could affect it a little but they aren't looking to spend $400 in June. That's what Christmas is for.



Hmm, pie.

TheDrill said:
I am surprised so many people say it won't. X1 is already outselling ps4, and with the price cut, it will catch up fast.


Where is this world where x1 is outselling PS4?



That's a joke.



While it's nice to be optimistic about your favorite console, it's just sometimes helpful to be objective. Now that X1 dropped its price doesn't mean much, especially that it will start selling so insanely fast to make up the difference in a year.
If the price was the only factor, WiiU would be flying off the shelves right now, killing both competitors handily. And Ouya owners would be multibillionaires, acquiring Apple and Facebook for cash...

Sure, price drop helps a bit. It will probably help close that gaping 60K March Titanfall hole. It might actually win sme months. But its just too pretentious to think that Sony will just sit twiddling their thumbs without any counter moves. All they need to do is toss in a AAA download code into their $399 box and they're well on the way to outselling the resurrected XOne.



I didn't calculate the precise percentages yet but my previous estimates with XB1 being $100 more had the following regional (North American) distribution between XB1 and PS4, and the effect of a $100 cut.

(Before price decrease)
XB1 : 35 - 45 %
PS4 : 55 - 65 %

After price decrease)
XB1 => up by 5-10% (below 50%)
PS4 => down by 5-10% (above 50%)

With all this media negativity, the loss of initial momentum and the cut of sales for a few months before June in addition to PS4 being recognized as the stronger hardware, stronger brand, and more friendly policies, I still predict XB1 to have less than 50% of market share in North America, although the competition will be a lot closer this time around (up by 5-10% in XB1's favor).



Playstation 5 vs XBox Series Market Share Estimates

Regional Analysis  (only MS and Sony Consoles)
Europe     => XB1 : 23-24 % vs PS4 : 76-77%
N. America => XB1 :  49-52% vs PS4 : 48-51%
Global     => XB1 :  32-34% vs PS4 : 66-68%

Sales Estimations for 8th Generation Consoles

Next Gen Consoles Impressions and Estimates