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Forums - Sales - Will 3DS go under 70k Worldwide?

 

Will 3DS go under 70k Worldwide?

No it'll stay above 70k 68 67.33%
 
It'll hit 70k but won't go below by much 17 16.83%
 
It'll go below 70k 15 14.85%
 
Total:100
tbone51 said:
Seece said:
tbone51 said:
Seece said:
tbone51 said:

I told you 3DS XL will go up, did much more than that in japan 34k this week!

It's gone to 20k in Japan already, so it relies on if it goes down to what I expect in April NPD whether it's sub 70k.

You don't seem to understand this though.


lmao, i do understand, i was mostly referring to our older argument on the first page http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6251348

Anyway it wont be under 70k like i said, nuff said. 

Uh huh, you really don't know that for sure, remotely.

The chances of it seeing a drop in April in US (like everything does each year) is likely, you thinking it's going to be flat is the outlier here.



lol, i do UNDERSTAND, and still No. Yu can keep it to yourself now as you cant prove one week dipped under 70k anywayz, especially week 2. And no comment on japan sales? Anywayz see yaaaa

You clearly don't. Fact is if NPD shows 80k for April we have to take it at face value that it's an average of 20k per week. 20k Japan, 20k Europe, 20k US. 10% WW = 6k.

I already commented on Japan sales, it doesn't matter that they're higher this week, as long as they're below 20k at some point in April that gives it the possibility of being sub 70k WW.

You have no basis for saying no when you're completely ignoring the fact NPD could show 80k 3DS figure.



 

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Seece said:
tbone51 said:
Seece said:
tbone51 said:
Seece said:
tbone51 said:

I told you 3DS XL will go up, did much more than that in japan 34k this week!

It's gone to 20k in Japan already, so it relies on if it goes down to what I expect in April NPD whether it's sub 70k.

You don't seem to understand this though.


lmao, i do understand, i was mostly referring to our older argument on the first page http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6251348

Anyway it wont be under 70k like i said, nuff said. 

Uh huh, you really don't know that for sure, remotely.

The chances of it seeing a drop in April in US (like everything does each year) is likely, you thinking it's going to be flat is the outlier here.



lol, i do UNDERSTAND, and still No. Yu can keep it to yourself now as you cant prove one week dipped under 70k anywayz, especially week 2. And no comment on japan sales? Anywayz see yaaaa

You clearly don't. Fact is if NPD shows 80k for April we have to take it at face value that it's an average of 20k per week. 20k Japan, 20k Europe, 20k US. 10% WW = 6k.

I already commented on Japan sales, it doesn't matter that they're higher this week, as long as they're below 20k at some point in April that gives it the possibility of being sub 70k WW.

You have no basis for saying no when you're completely ignoring the fact NPD could show 80k 3DS figure.



like i said, i do kno. So in your case titanfall release week had X1 sold 62k right? Cuz you kno the weekly avg was 62k for the month lol. My point is you cant prove anything, US week numbers if decline will be on a weekly basis right? So the 2nd numbers should be higher (even if a small amount) than week 3+4 (which have japan sales at 34k week 3, and week 4 is guaranteed to be better like i said days ago). And lastly US=/=Europe. You cant prove but only speculate. 6k WW? You forgot to add the rest of NOA and rest of the world should easily make it sit comfortably over 80k. But in the end Seece, you wont have any proof (technically neither will I) but go ahead and still do wat you want too :)

tbone51 said:
Seece said:
tbone51 said:
Seece said:
tbone51 said:
Seece said:
tbone51 said:

I told you 3DS XL will go up, did much more than that in japan 34k this week!

It's gone to 20k in Japan already, so it relies on if it goes down to what I expect in April NPD whether it's sub 70k.

You don't seem to understand this though.


lmao, i do understand, i was mostly referring to our older argument on the first page http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6251348

Anyway it wont be under 70k like i said, nuff said. 

Uh huh, you really don't know that for sure, remotely.

The chances of it seeing a drop in April in US (like everything does each year) is likely, you thinking it's going to be flat is the outlier here.



lol, i do UNDERSTAND, and still No. Yu can keep it to yourself now as you cant prove one week dipped under 70k anywayz, especially week 2. And no comment on japan sales? Anywayz see yaaaa

You clearly don't. Fact is if NPD shows 80k for April we have to take it at face value that it's an average of 20k per week. 20k Japan, 20k Europe, 20k US. 10% WW = 6k.

I already commented on Japan sales, it doesn't matter that they're higher this week, as long as they're below 20k at some point in April that gives it the possibility of being sub 70k WW.

You have no basis for saying no when you're completely ignoring the fact NPD could show 80k 3DS figure.



like i said, i do kno. So in your case titanfall release week had X1 sold 62k right? Cuz you kno the weekly avg was 62k for the month lol. My point is you cant prove anything, US week numbers if decline will be on a weekly basis right? So the 2nd numbers should be higher (even if a small amount) than week 3+4 (which have japan sales at 34k week 3, and week 4 is guaranteed to be better like i said days ago). And lastly US=/=Europe. You cant prove but only speculate. 6k WW? You forgot to add the rest of NOA and rest of the world should easily make it sit comfortably over 80k. But in the end Seece, you wont have any proof (technically neither will I) but go ahead and still do wat you want too :)

I have no idea what the numbers were when Titanfall released, obviously it would have been higher. There was nothing for the 3DS in the US last month tho, there wouldn't be a huge deviation week from week, it'll be pretty much static. Can't 100% proove that but common sense you know?

April declines because A) it's not a 5 week month and B) March is generally higher for whatever reason. Your example doesn't even play into 3DS's favour here, because if it weakens as the month goes, well that 20k Japan April figure fell in the latter half not the front half. So by your opinion if it does 80k in US April, the latter part of the mont is something like 15k not 20k average throughout.

US and Europe are pretty much on par, with Europe being behind US. The software charts certainly don't paint a good picture for 3DS there (Nintendo shipments next week will be very interesting).

Sales/shipments confirm US, Europe and Japan make up 90% of 3DS market.

Nothing on this site is "proof" but we still come here and use the numbers. Once the numbers are in (sales, shipments ect) it'll be easy to see what the range is and if it's possible it's below 70k.

My point is, you can't definitely say no it won't happen, like you are, just makes anything you say fall flat on its face tbh.


I thought you were leaving?



 

Seece said:
tbone51 said:
Seece said:
tbone51 said:
Seece said:
tbone51 said:
Seece said:
tbone51 said:

I told you 3DS XL will go up, did much more than that in japan 34k this week!

It's gone to 20k in Japan already, so it relies on if it goes down to what I expect in April NPD whether it's sub 70k.

You don't seem to understand this though.


lmao, i do understand, i was mostly referring to our older argument on the first page http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=6251348

Anyway it wont be under 70k like i said, nuff said. 

Uh huh, you really don't know that for sure, remotely.

The chances of it seeing a drop in April in US (like everything does each year) is likely, you thinking it's going to be flat is the outlier here.



lol, i do UNDERSTAND, and still No. Yu can keep it to yourself now as you cant prove one week dipped under 70k anywayz, especially week 2. And no comment on japan sales? Anywayz see yaaaa

You clearly don't. Fact is if NPD shows 80k for April we have to take it at face value that it's an average of 20k per week. 20k Japan, 20k Europe, 20k US. 10% WW = 6k.

I already commented on Japan sales, it doesn't matter that they're higher this week, as long as they're below 20k at some point in April that gives it the possibility of being sub 70k WW.

You have no basis for saying no when you're completely ignoring the fact NPD could show 80k 3DS figure.



like i said, i do kno. So in your case titanfall release week had X1 sold 62k right? Cuz you kno the weekly avg was 62k for the month lol. My point is you cant prove anything, US week numbers if decline will be on a weekly basis right? So the 2nd numbers should be higher (even if a small amount) than week 3+4 (which have japan sales at 34k week 3, and week 4 is guaranteed to be better like i said days ago). And lastly US=/=Europe. You cant prove but only speculate. 6k WW? You forgot to add the rest of NOA and rest of the world should easily make it sit comfortably over 80k. But in the end Seece, you wont have any proof (technically neither will I) but go ahead and still do wat you want too :)

I have no idea what the numbers were when Titanfall released, obviously it would have been higher. There was nothing for the 3DS in the US last month tho, there wouldn't be a huge deviation week from week, it'll be pretty much static. Can't 100% proove that but common sense you know?

April declines because A) it's not a 5 week month and B) March is generally higher for whatever reason. Your example doesn't even play into 3DS's favour here, because if it weakens as the month goes, well that 20k Japan April figure fell in the latter half not the front half. So by your opinion if it does 80k in US April, the latter part of the mont is something like 15k not 20k average throughout.

US and Europe are pretty much on par, with Europe being behind US. The software charts certainly don't paint a good picture for 3DS there (Nintendo shipments next week will be very interesting).

Sales/shipments confirm US, Europe and Japan make up 90% of 3DS market.

Nothing on this site is "proof" but we still come here and use the numbers. Once the numbers are in (sales, shipments ect) it'll be easy to see what the range is and if it's possible it's below 70k.

My point is, you can't definitely say no it won't happen, like you are, just makes anything you say fall flat on its face tbh.


I thought you were leaving?



Didn't want to leave ya unanswered, but anyway yes its under 20k WW... DOOOOOOOOOMED Now i leave :)

Seece said:
Seece said:

Unless of course by some freak coincidence you expect 3DS to be flat in the west even tho it's showing 20 - 30%+ drops?

Edit - Not going under 80k means you pretty much expect it to be flat yoy. What's your reasoning for this?

 

Why don't you actually bother reading the OP next time before you start a sales discussion, it's all pretty much laid out for you. VGC are likely overtracked.

And you expect 3DS to be flat in the US/Europe even tho it's been down 20% - 30%+ all this year, which is clearly not going to happen.

***Other Quotes:

These trends don't just disappear, they fluctuate but they don't disappear. April is usually lower than January, and Jan this year was 97k.

 

 

Fact is even if it's FLAT in the US in April, that is still 28k. Mirror that for Europe and you get 56k combined + 20k for Japan (if it doesn't go lower) = 76k + the 10% rest of the world = 83k.

Again, that is if it's FLAT, which is unlikely.

 

 

 

Uh huh, you really don't know that for sure, remotely. 

The chances of it seeing a drop in April in US (like everything does each year) is likely, you thinking it's going to be flat is the outlier here.

"You have no basis for saying no when you're completely ignoring the fact NPD could show 80k 3DS figure."

 

All i was trying to say is that yes, speculation is good (wat you have done with your opening), but its not everything. 3DS is 106k for the month.

Its not exactly flat but its only down about 5%-7% YoY. Just pls learn from it.

edit: Im pointing this out cuz you kept insisting it would be "20%-30%+" down YoY because all the other  months were!