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Forums - Nintendo - What will be the Wii U's peak sales year?

 

What will be the Wii U's peak sales year?

2013 11 12.09%
 
2014 38 41.76%
 
2015 38 41.76%
 
2016 3 3.30%
 
2017 1 1.10%
 
Total:91
fatslob-:O on 15 February 2014
benji232 said:
fatslob-:O said:
benji232 said:

Well, to be fair. We've never seen a sales trajectory like the one for wiiU. We have no clue what effect MK8 and SS4 will have on it's sales. For all we know, these 2 titles COULD maybe push it to GC levels.

But yea, no one could have predicted a 30k baseline for wiiU. ESPECIALLY coming off of the huge wii success.

Highly doubtful at this point considering it's getting harder to change the image of a console when a year has being set and in this case the WII U has the image of "IT HAZ NO GAMEZ" according to the consumers. It's VERY hard to erase the image once a year has passed but there have being consoles and handhelds that have done it such as the PS3 and 3DS. 

Well it's not always about past success of console manufacturers. The new generation is ALWAYS a clean slate according to history. Who would have predicted a new player like sony could dominate in the span of 5 years in the fifth generation ? Who could have predicted that the WII was going to be a smash hit despite nintendo's previous epic failure such as the gamecube ?

The veterans will tell you this and it's that "A new generation is not set in stone but is ALWAYS a new playground."

I agree with all of your points. However, what I meant is no one could have seen Nintendo go from selling 100 million wii consoles to barely being able to reach 18-20 million. I believe this is the biggest decline in consoles history. Not even Nintendo themselves or analysts like Patcher could have seen this coming. 

If you have a fail enough of idea then it could happen ... Remember the virtual boy ?



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kekrot on 15 February 2014

I voted 2014, since MK and Smash is coming out. But then I don't know what Nintendo has planned for next year... If it's not 2014 then it's sure to be 2015. Both years will be higher than 2013.



Yep.

kekrot on 15 February 2014
fatslob-:O said:

If you have a fail enough of idea then it could happen ... Remember the virtual boy ?


The Virtual Boy was more of a sidestep experiment, a little third pillar while they finalized the N64.



Yep.

fatslob-:O on 15 February 2014
kekrot said:
fatslob-:O said:

If you have a fail enough of idea then it could happen ... Remember the virtual boy ?


The Virtual Boy was more of a sidestep experiment, a little third pillar while they finalized the N64.

Nonetheless it was an epic fail of an idea still ...



kekrot on 15 February 2014
fatslob-:O said:
kekrot said:
fatslob-:O said:

If you have a fail enough of idea then it could happen ... Remember the virtual boy ?


The Virtual Boy was more of a sidestep experiment, a little third pillar while they finalized the N64.

Nonetheless it was an epic fail of an idea still ...


Yeah I won't argue with that, what I meant was that we can't really compare Wii U to the Virtual Boy.

But yeah, the Virtual Boy was such a failure that the creator and longtime Nintendo worker, Gunpei Yokoi, was deeply unsatisfied (don't know if he quit or something)



Yep.

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DucksUnlimited on 15 February 2014

We should have a better idea by E3, but it'll most certainly be either this year or next.



ICStats on 15 February 2014
benji232 said:

I agree with all of your points. However, what I meant is no one could have seen Nintendo go from selling 100 million wii consoles to barely being able to reach 18-20 million. I believe this is the biggest decline in consoles history. Not even Nintendo themselves or analysts like Patcher could have seen this coming. 

The Wii U is selling in line with Nintendo home consoles trend IF you exclude the Wii.

The error everyone made was to think Nintendo had found the secret stardust that would make everything perform like Wii/DS in the future.

Also believing that the new home consoles business is now 260+ million (wii+ps3+x360).  I don't believe that's the case.  I believe that #1 The Wii was purchased as a 2nd console by many gamers, and #2 The Wii was purchased by many prior non-gamers which are not goint to be easy to convert into permanent gamers.

So I believe the business is going to be closer to 180 million and getting towards 260 million will be tough.



My 8th gen collection

justinian on 15 February 2014

I voted 2014 but to be honest I don't think any year will be that significantly better than any other.

Around 5m for 2014, 15 is my prediction. This year a small boost for MK8 and then back to the 20K/30K weekly sales before SSB might just about do it. I really don't see MK8 or SSB spinning the miracle that so many have hopes pinned on.

We shall see.



episteme on 15 February 2014

I think it will be 2015 with Zelda and maybe Metroid or a Mario Kart 8 bundle for 199.