OOOPS ... I thought you meant full years but yeah I'm expecting to see a new console by 2016.

Unless Smash gets delayed to March 2015, and Zelda U is 2015, peak year will be 2014.

No problem, I should have probably made my prediction a bit more clear :P.

I seriously didn't see this coming for the WII U. I knew the WII U would do bad to gamecube levels but NOT THIS horrible. Now it's gonna end up selling less than 15 mil which doesn't sound good at all ... Well I guess the same applies to the vita seeing as how their both in hell.

It would have being more fair to say 4 years instead of 5 though because even if the successor launches in december 2016 it will barely be passed over the 4 years. 

Well, to be fair. We've never seen a sales trajectory like the one for wiiU. We have no clue what effect MK8 and SS4 will have on it's sales. For all we know, these 2 titles COULD maybe push it to GC levels.

But yea, no one could have predicted a 30k baseline for wiiU. ESPECIALLY coming off of the huge wii success.

Undecided between 2013 and 2014. I don't think Wii U has a future, but I'll be generous and say this year's releases will bump it above 2013's sales. After they're done releasing DKC, SSB, MK then that will be their peak year.

Last year. :(

2011

Highly doubtful at this point considering it's getting harder to change the image of a console when a year has being set and in this case the WII U has the image of "IT HAZ NO GAMEZ" according to the consumers. It's VERY hard to erase the image once a year has passed but there have being consoles and handhelds that have done it such as the PS3 and 3DS. 

Well it's not always about past success of console manufacturers. The new generation is ALWAYS a clean slate according to history. Who would have predicted a new player like sony could dominate in the span of 5 years in the fifth generation ? Who could have predicted that the WII was going to be a smash hit despite nintendo's previous epic failure such as the gamecube ?

The veterans will tell you this and it's that "A new generation is not set in stone but is ALWAYS a new playground."

I agree with all of your points. However, what I meant is no one could have seen Nintendo go from selling 100 million wii consoles to barely being able to reach 18-20 million. I believe this is the biggest decline in consoles history. Not even Nintendo themselves or analysts like Patcher could have seen this coming.