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fatslob-:O said:
benji232 said:
fatslob-:O said:
benji232 said:
fatslob-:O said:
benji232 said:
I believe that wiiU will have a 5 year life cycle. So it's peak year should be in 2014.

I don't think so.

5 year life cycle, I'm counting 2012 as a year. So it's successor should be out by 2016. You believe that Nintendo will release their next console next year?

OOOPS ... I thought you meant full years but yeah I'm expecting to see a new console by 2016.

No problem, I should have probably made my prediction a bit more clear :P.

I seriously didn't see this coming for the WII U. I knew the WII U would do bad to gamecube levels but NOT THIS horrible. Now it's gonna end up selling less than 15 mil which doesn't sound good at all ... Well I guess the same applies to the vita seeing as how their both in hell.

It would have being more fair to say 4 years instead of 5 though because even if the successor launches in december 2016 it will barely be passed over the 4 years. 

Well, to be fair. We've never seen a sales trajectory like the one for wiiU. We have no clue what effect MK8 and SS4 will have on it's sales. For all we know, these 2 titles COULD maybe push it to GC levels.

But yea, no one could have predicted a 30k baseline for wiiU. ESPECIALLY coming off of the huge wii success.



Predictions for LT console sales:

PS4: 120M

XB1: 70M

WiiU: 14M

3DS: 60M

Vita: 13M