This is actually kind of exciting... when I read about the stock buy back I was thinking it was just a smoke screen to increase share prices to appease key share holders. Buying a company seems to be clearly in their plans.
For those that are saying we shouldn't be talking about large companies - only small ones - you're actually incorrect. If it was someone like Platinum Games, they could do that with money Iwata has in his cookie jar. The stock buy-back and terms like "merger" indicate something of significance. They are buying back 7% of their own stock... I would speculate that any purchase may have value of 10% of Nintendo's, or even more. The purchase may be non-game or QoL project related, but since we know nothing of that I'll stick to talking about games.
I've said for some time Nintendo needs to purchase a 3rd party to add content to their platforms and bring in some non-Nintendo brands to bring in customers (and also weaken the competition's 3rd party support advantage). Some options:
Capcom (approximate market cap: $1.33 Billion US) - Nintendo could easily buy Capcom outright. They bring valuable IP's and developer capacity for their price. RE and MH are especially valuable in the Japanese market... however Capcom already has solid support for Nintendo, at least on handhelds.
Square Enix (mc: $3.2 billion US) - A purchase of SE is possible, but costly. Taking a controlling interest is also possible. SE presents several valuable assets for Nintendo: 3 capable western developers, 2 of the largest Japanese IP's and a large, valuable back catalog.
Take2 (mc $1.72 billion US) - A strictly western company, Take2 would potentially compliment Nintendo's Japanese focus. GTA is a massive franchise, and 2ksports could become a sports division for Nintendo, lessening the impact of feuds with EA.
Personally, I think Capcom is a waste of money. As long as Nintendo's platforms are viable, Capcom will support them. Square Enix and Take2 both present interesting possibilities. Personally, I would purchase SE and streamline its operations to make it more productive and efficient. The western stuidios could produce new, western-focused IPs or create new versions of some Nintendo IPs such as Metroid, FZero or Starfox. In Japan, having FF and DQ exclusive to Nintendo platforms would lead to domination of the market. This would lead to full support from other key Japanese publishers such as Capcom and Konami. Full Japanese support and improved sales would lead to better western support and improved sales all around. In the end, Playstation would have lost a key title(s) - FF has essentially been the brand's "Zelda" since FF7 debuted - while Nintendo would have eliminated its 3rd party disadvantage.
Take2 would also be a potentially great pick up, and they have been open to a take over in the past. GTA is one of gaming biggest brand, but the old library has less value than SE's catalog - the value is in new titles which mostly make the old ones obsolete upon release. Nintendo having a sports division would also be of great value. However, I would view this as a secondary option to SE since SE has more development resources and established brands. And most of all, a SE takeover would lead to a complete market takeover of Japan and greatly improved 3rd party support.
3rd party support really is key, as if Nintendo had full support it really wouldn't need to be considering any takeovers at all.








