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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Mario Kart 8 sales prediction thread

I win :)



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Over 75% of the predictions fell far below the actual numbers. Hilarious, but expected here.

Kinda serves those users right for allowing pessimism to cloud their minds instead of being open.

And that's just the weekend. Can't wait for the first week sales comparisons. Not expecting excessive domination, but unlike 75%+ of the predictors here, I do expect it being over 1 million. =)



Altruino said:
Over 75% of the predictions fell far below the actual numbers. Hilarious, but expected here.

Kinda serves those users right for allowing pessimism to cloud their minds instead of being open.

And that's just the weekend. Can't wait for the first week sales comparisons. Not expecting excessive domination, but unlike 75%+ of the predictors here, I do expect it being over 1 million. =)

OK, let's be fair to all.

MK7 did 684k FW. On the 3DS. During the holydays. Or to be more fair, just under 1.3 million when launces alligned.

No one, I dare to say no one with a SANE MIND would have thought over 1 million.



Bet with bluedawgs: I say Switch will outsell PS4 in 2018, he says PS4 will outsell Switch. He's now permabanned, but the bet will remain in my sig.

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^ Just to add to that, though: Mario Kart titles do generally sell a bit worse on handhelds. The Wii version outsold the DS version despite the DS eventually having about 1.5 times the user base. The GC version outsold the GBA version, too, despite the GBA having nearly 4 times the user base.



episteme said:

600k first week, 3,5m 2014, 11m lifetime

Well, I did that prediction before they announced the free game promotion... I predicted 301K in Japan after the promotion was announced (although the Japanese promotion is worse).

But I keep the other predictions.



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TheLastStarFighter said:
It's hilarious that only Zero went over. Incubi was very close.

Why is it hilarious?



Slarvax said:
Altruino said:
Over 75% of the predictions fell far below the actual numbers. Hilarious, but expected here.

Kinda serves those users right for allowing pessimism to cloud their minds instead of being open.

And that's just the weekend. Can't wait for the first week sales comparisons. Not expecting excessive domination, but unlike 75%+ of the predictors here, I do expect it being over 1 million. =)

OK, let's be fair to all.

MK7 did 684k FW. On the 3DS. During the holydays. Or to be more fair, just under 1.3 million when launces alligned.

No one, I dare to say no one with a SANE MIND would have thought over 1 million.

What's the point of mentioning the US first week of MK7. the 1.3 million you mentioned was the relevant number. Over one million was pretty much a given, with the many (a lot) bellow 1 million predictions were the odd ones.



Zero999 said:
Slarvax said:

OK, let's be fair to all.

MK7 did 684k FW. On the 3DS. During the holydays. Or to be more fair, just under 1.3 million when launces alligned.

No one, I dare to say no one with a SANE MIND would have thought over 1 million.

What's the point of mentioning the US first week of MK7. the 1.3 million you mentioned was the relevant number. Over one million was pretty much a given, with the many (a lot) bellow 1 million predictions were the odd ones.

The 684k sold are the official FW numbers, since that's what it sold when it was released. 



Bet with bluedawgs: I say Switch will outsell PS4 in 2018, he says PS4 will outsell Switch. He's now permabanned, but the bet will remain in my sig.

NNID: Slarvax - Steam: Slarvax - Friend Code:  SW 7885-0552-5988

Zero999 said:
TheLastStarFighter said:
It's hilarious that only Zero went over. Incubi was very close.

Why is it hilarious?

I find it funny that everyone was so wrong. In particular that 99% were wrong due to negativity. Far too often people use the recent past to predict the future. Thoughts should focus on the present. 



Fusioncode said:

1st week - 400k

2014 - 3m

Lifetime - 8m

The prediction lowest of all. XD