Lets be honest with ourselves. System sales follow the games. When there are games, then and only then do systems sell. When there are no games, systems do not sell.

Which system will sell more in 2014? | |||
| Wii U | 61 | 43.88% | |
| XBO | 69 | 49.64% | |
| Draw! | 2 | 1.44% | |
| See Results | 7 | 5.04% | |
| Total: | 139 | ||
Lets be honest with ourselves. System sales follow the games. When there are games, then and only then do systems sell. When there are no games, systems do not sell.

Actually i dont think your opinion is crazy at all. At the current price point the X1 is gonna fall off the charts like a truck.
This all depends on what price cuts will do on each side. The Wii U line-up is quite good for this year. The X1 seems to be getting alot of hype i dont understand with that Titanfall game. We shall see...
What i know is that since i tried the Wii U in a shop a couple of weeks ago i have been itching to get one.
The Xbox One is currently $500. For a lot of people in Xbox's target market -- that's a whole paycheck, rent, student loan payment, a down payment on a badly needed new car... Since there's still an abundance of relevant, good games to play on the 360, the conversion rate may not be as high as some might expect -- unless the next COD were to skip the 360 entirely (Halo5 probably will though). Also, I don't expect the MS board + new CEO to sign off on a price cut too soon.
Then there's the "blue ocean" of Nintendo's target market that still doesn't know the WiiU exists -- but will come to know it in the coming months because of Ninty's impressive slate of games. It's not out of the question for WiiU to sell even below $200 if the hardware costs could be cut. Yes WiiU to this point hasn't done well, but most of Ninty's potential market don't give a hoot about console wars.
The demographics, economics, and other trends clearly point to a WiiU advantage.
I predict NX launches in 2017 - not 2016
Hard to tell. XB One is $500, Japan doesn't give a s*** about Xbox brand, Xbox is kinda losing Europe (thx to Playstation). WiiU is lacking in hot third-party games, Smash is on 3DS as well, i dont know if MK8 will actually significantly improve sales, Zelda won't release this year.
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