1.  Third Party Games:  In the seventh generation, it was common to see someone with a Wii and a PS3, or a Wii and a 360, but rare to see someone with both a PS3 and a 360.  My point is that people will not buy the Wii U if they all they are looking for is the third games.  They will do it for the Nintendo exclusives, (like Kart, Smash, etc.) as they have in the past.  A big price drop in the Wii U will make it possible for gamers to have two eigth generation systems.  Though since people would not want buy two consoles in a short timeframe, this is another reason why I think the Wii U has a chance long term, but not by the end of 2014.

2.  Previous Abysmal Sales:  The main problem with the Wii U early on (other than the higher price) was the small game library.  As time progresses, the Wii U will become more of a value.  I mentioned earlier that I am a Nintendo fan, but I do not own a Wii U.  At $300, there are not enough games out there for it to be worth it to buy one.  I am waiting for the next price drop, even if it means having to wait for months after both Kart and Smash come out.  My situation is by no means atypical.  There are many people who have already decided that they will buy a Wii U, but are just waiting for it to be worth it for them.

Haha no problem. I don't think anyone is crazy enough to predict a multiplat will beat those games.

Kart and Smash both have good chances of outselling Halo though.

I see Kart and Smash being more slow burners, and the userbases being on par by the end of 2014. I see Halo getting a lot of Halo fans to jump on board than MK and Smash fans.

360 userbase was around 6.3m in US when Halo 3 launched, and it did 3.3m in the US launch month.

That's US only. Massive.

bolded: any ps4/xone game can run on wii u, this is an old subject. and from the FF 15 example, the actual gameplay footage could be running decently on a ps360.

bolded2: maybe that's why wii dominated thanks to it's exclusives and not online focused games.

@ Zero, Watchdogs ect are cross gen stuff, later on when GTA6, Elder Scrolls ____ ect comes along, WiiU wouldn't be able to handle it. Not that it'll get them anyway, the devs don't like Nintendo home consoles.

Depends on Nintendo and WiiU performance. it will be close between PS4 and WiiU. Still i think PS4 will come slighltly above.
Xbox has zero chances.

I think the PS4 will take an early lead, overtaking the Wii U around Q2, and ending the year ahead. Xbox will be behind, but not by much. But that's just for 2014. In the long run, it's hard to say, but I think both PS4 and Xbox were overhyped, and won't be as big as everyone says. When the dust settles and gen 9 starts, things are going to be closer than we think.

could you talk more about this "drought"? because wii u is getting a big release as soon as february, with mario kart following shortly and lot's of games to distribute throughout the year.

The 360 had a much higher install base when Halo 3 launched. Looking at the charts the 360 was at 15.8 million global sales by the end of 2007. With Halo 5 coming only a year after launch instead of two, even with your optimistic predictions the XBONE will have a smaller install base (realistically it'll have a much smaller install base lol). Long term the game can still have great sales, but it's going to have a smaller opening.

what games is it getting in the first half??? Mario kart and Donkey Kong. Great. What about multiplats to pad it out? Cnsumers won't be happy with 2 games whatever they are.