Prediction: Which console will be in first place by the end of 2014?

[garretslarrity]

Seece said:

garretslarrity said:
I shall start by admitting that I am a biased Nintendo fan. I really want the Wii U to win, but I had to choose PS4.

I actually think the Wii U can win in the long run, but not by the end of 2014. Kart, Smash, and DK will certainly help, but a price cut is what the Wii U really needs, preferably before these games come out. If Nintendo is willing to take some risk, I think they should do a $100 price cut before any of these games out. If they actually do that, then I can easily see the Wii U beating the PS4 by the end of 2014. I do not know how much it costs Nintendo to manufacture a Wii U, but I don't think that it would be a bad idea for them to take a loss on the console (or a bigger one if they are already) in order to increase software sales. I don't think its likely, but Nintendo could risk losing relevancy, which is far worse than losing money.

The only I can say that is certain is that nothing is certain. (I'm loosely quoting someone but have no idea whom). At this point, anything could happen. No doubt 2014 will be an extremely crucial year.

How can WiiU win when it doesn't have the third party games? PS4 and then XB1 will be 'gamers' choice, and as for the rest, even during thr Wii days it was a small market than gamers buying PS360. They're long gone anyway. Has a year of selling abysmaly not signalled to you that very few are interested in the WiiU?

1.  Third Party Games:  In the seventh generation, it was common to see someone with a Wii and a PS3, or a Wii and a 360, but rare to see someone with both a PS3 and a 360.  My point is that people will not buy the Wii U if they all they are looking for is the third games.  They will do it for the Nintendo exclusives, (like Kart, Smash, etc.) as they have in the past.  A big price drop in the Wii U will make it possible for gamers to have two eigth generation systems.  Though since people would not want buy two consoles in a short timeframe, this is another reason why I think the Wii U has a chance long term, but not by the end of 2014.

 

2.  Previous Abysmal Sales:  The main problem with the Wii U early on (other than the higher price) was the small game library.  As time progresses, the Wii U will become more of a value.  I mentioned earlier that I am a Nintendo fan, but I do not own a Wii U.  At $300, there are not enough games out there for it to be worth it to buy one.  I am waiting for the next price drop, even if it means having to wait for months after both Kart and Smash come out.  My situation is by no means atypical.  There are many people who have already decided that they will buy a Wii U, but are just waiting for it to be worth it for them.