You might want to look at the numbers for those 2 franchises again.  Especially for Mario Kart.

If nobody equals several million each then I'd love to sell my stuff to nobody in Europe.

still is a 5.5m margin. For someone who claims to be as precise as you, is hilarous.

im sorry but are you back tracking on your prediction?

I am sorry... But I need to ask you this... Can you read or not?

I am not back tracking. 12.5 million is worst case scenario, 18 million is best possible if Nintendo makes all the right moves(more 1st/2nd/3rd party exclusives, persuade some 3rd party to jump back and bring some, if software sales are good then even dropping price to 250$ near holidays of 2014).

There was a recent rumor of another 3rd party exclusive and people are speculating, it could be Devil's Third which would be a bit smaller "Megaton" than Bayonetta 2 yet it could also be Shenmue 3 because of DLC that introduces Ryo which has a vehicle with Shen3 on  license plate so it could be a hint for Shenmue 3 which may be a Wii U exclusive since Nintendo has a 3 game deal with Sega.

Its not hilarious, you can't be 100% precise on results thus it is better to have worst and best case scenario that is why I pointed out which is the worst and which is the best case scenario, it is relatively early to talk about sales yet we know most of exclusives and games that are going to be on Wii U. I am precise, that is why I don't shoot too high and that is why I analyze to the smallest detail possible would it be the rumors that could be true, how the library of games will look like at that or that quarter, is public interest into WIi U rising or declining, appeal of the games that is going to have...

Public interest into Wii U is rising, game library is more and more appealing as exclusives and games get released, features get added... etc...

The state the console was previously and how it perform then does not show the console that is in current state nor how it will perform.

It kinda sucks that because of New Year we don't have Media Create Sales for last week... Oh well.. Next week we are going to have two shots.

No... Mario Kart 8 will sell consoles to some people, but your sarcasm is beyond sarcasm... It will boost sales... I would not be surprised when Mario Kart 8 releases that Wii U weekly sales on global scale could range from 135K to 175K.

The three-game Sega deal was specifically for Sonic the Hedgehog games.

True, though I can't help thinking Sega seem inclined to "fan herding" so we can't be sure they don't have other Wii-U plans.

LOL love how you call pachter out, yet your predictions are far far worse. His will be much closer.

That is pretty much the exact opposite of what Sega has done ever since they went 3rd party. They may herd the Sonic fans mostly on one console, the Yakuza on another, and as seen with the original Xbox might have some overall slight favoritism here and there, but by and large they always produce plenty of exclusives for each sytem in every gen.

The best indicator for Shenmue 3 going to the Wii U would be the bird trailer (which I certainly belive indicates, at least at one point, Nintendo was seriously considering funding it). However, there are also indications for a possible PS4 deal: those pictures of Cerny with Suzuki,  Cerny translating for Suzuki at GDC, and Gio Corsi from Sony specifically naming Shenmue's demand from Playstation fans. There are even rumours of Microsofting funding Shenmue 3 as their big Japanese exclusive for this gen.

Who knows what's really going on behind the scenes at this point, but I definitely wouldn't say it's in the clear for any of the console producers at this point.