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Forums - Sales - BOLD PREDICTION: The PS4 will outsell the 3DS+Wii U

 

Do you think the PS4 will outsell the 3DS+Wii U?

Yes 431 30.12%
 
No 889 62.12%
 
They'll sell the same ak... 110 7.69%
 
Total:1,430
JWeinCom on 15 June 2017
Pinkie_pie said:
JWeinCom said:

Lol indeed.  Whoever made that comment is a moron. 

hes the one that is looking stupid now lol

Yeah.  And he was kind of a douche about it too, which makes it all the worse.



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DonFerrari on 15 June 2017
tak13 said:
DonFerrari said:

Still nowhere close to 11M so why this silly discussion about it being calendar or fiscal year?

I didn't comment on that 11m but if 3DS had growth or not but I guess you want to provoke me without a reason...

Nope. Just asking what is the point in poiting that on a small period it had a growth to try and win an argument when the official shipment is Fiscal Year and on that it was down and anyway was lower than 11M that was the base made to say it could outdo PS4.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

tak13 on 15 June 2017
Lawlight said:
tak13 said:

Ah, you mean calendar years...

Lawlight, CY15 Q1 had New 3ds xl release in the west.. As you can see in the chart, 3DS grew  significantly between March-December 2016 compared to March-December 2015!

Your comment is true, though the growth is actually from July to December as it was down QoQ in Apr-Jun 2016 compared to Apr-Jun 2015. So Pokemon Go is essentially what caused that growth inthe second half of the year. Still, Q1 2017 shows a 10% drop QoQ from Q1 2016.

It's again based on Nintendo data right?

Did you missed my thread about 3DS shortages till April after selling out all of its stock in the USA on holidays?

Open it please and read rol's comment!



weraru_1 on 15 June 2017

Not that bold a prediction considering the Wii U sold less than 14,000,000 units. The PS4 has more or less caught up with the 3DS, and it's definitely going to sell 14,000,000 more easily. Heck, the 3DS could (albeit not as likely).



You know that thing when you uhhh...and then you...hmmm. But then you have to...umm, Yuh.

tak13 on 15 June 2017
DonFerrari said:
tak13 said:

I didn't comment on that 11m but if 3DS had growth or not but I guess you want to provoke me without a reason...

Nope. Just asking what is the point in poiting that on a small period it had a growth to try and win an argument when the official shipment is Fiscal Year and on that it was down and anyway was lower than 11M that was the base made to say it could outdo PS4.

Again, I didn't make any reference to that.

In fiscal year 3DS is yoy up, in calendar year  is slightly yoy down which is because of New 3ds xl release in the first quarter of 2015...

I shouldn't make lawlight aware of 3ds growth in mid 2016 and about the selling out in the USA on holidays ?



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tak13 on 15 June 2017
DonFerrari said:
tak13 said:

There are quite many wii u games that sold extremely well on a tiny installbase, that deserve another run on a system with a far bigger potential than wii u...

I mean MK8  has almost sold 9m on the 14m wii u, if wii u had sold 28m, this could be a 14-15m seller! So, the game in spite of having sold so much, still missed a considerable amount of sales. Hence, it was an astute move to port it on the hybrid switch!

Even here you have to bring the almost double userbase double sw sold?

Have  I said it again ? A bit arbitary I know but it's not irrational, there is some basis on that.

The 62% of wii u owners have the game,  almost every new wii u owner after MK8 release was buying wii u and mk8 along with wii u owners before MK8 release, so mario kart 8 attach rate was increasing every quarter, instead of falling as installbase was increasing.

 

If wii u had been bought from another 14m people, what makes you think that the 5.5m from them wouldn't acquire a MK8 copy? 

Okay,  I exaggerated, do you want me to decrease it to 12m ?

 

 

 

 

 



tak13 on 15 June 2017
DialgaMarine said:
Bold? I know this thread is over 3 1/2 years old, but I don't think it was ever bold. The PS4 is already about to pass 3DS during this year, and it'll easily sell another 13.5+ million after that. 3DS is taking its last few breaths now. I'm starting to have doubts the device will break even 70 million; PS4 on the other hand is still on track to sell over 125 million.

Please elaborate...



Kerotan on 15 June 2017

You know a console hasn't sold well when you say it "could" have sold 20m+ like that's a pretty low number as it is.

Anyway epic prediction der nobel. i'll be sure to link him this over on vizioneck where he still posts. he may start preparing the crow early.



tak13 on 15 June 2017
Kerotan said:
You know a console hasn't sold well when you say it "could" have sold 20m+ like that's a pretty low number as it is.

Anyway epic prediction der nobel. i'll be sure to link him this over on vizioneck where he still posts. he may start preparing the crow early.

I will make a prediction in the end of the year, that switch will outsell ps4+xbox one  ( lets say 110m+45m ) , and this suprisingly ends up happening...

 

How would you call that ? Lucky guess because I didn't have any compelling evidence!

Although, I have to give credit to dernebel because he called it a bold prediction owing to how premature it was and i'm acting like he didn't.



Lawlight on 15 June 2017
tak13 said:
Lawlight said:

Your comment is true, though the growth is actually from July to December as it was down QoQ in Apr-Jun 2016 compared to Apr-Jun 2015. So Pokemon Go is essentially what caused that growth inthe second half of the year. Still, Q1 2017 shows a 10% drop QoQ from Q1 2016.

It's again based on Nintendo data right?

Did you missed my thread about 3DS shortages till April after selling out all of its stock in the USA on holidays?

Open it please and read rol's comment!

Yes, based on Nintendo data. And no, I do not believe your 3DS shortage comment as I don't believe it lasted that long or that it was a worldwide phenomenon. In July we'd know for sure if the 3DS sales are growing.