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Forums - Sales - Prediction? WiiU under 1m for the full year in US

 

Will WiiU sell under 1m in the US this year?

Yes! 75 34.72%
 
No! 140 64.81%
 
Total:215
Pavolink said:
Seece said:
Pavolink said:
Oh my god, overtracked? seriously? And people tell me SM3DW is not flopping.

Hey, might be undertracked for all we know!

It has been overtracked month after month. It will be a real miracle if it is undertracked.

I can tell you that in my area, its doing fairly well. I spoke to employees from Best Buy and a few other cahins around here and just casually asked how the Wii U was doing and pretty much across the board they said it was doing really well. I don't know why they would all give me a line about  it. I was picking up a PS4 and a few Will U games and personally I can tell you the Wii U section was about 70% cleaned out and no, it wasn't because of limited stock. I don't understand the negativity shown around here against the Wii U. Why do people seems to hate Nintendo? I personally like all the systems.



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Shadow1980 said:
XboneWins said:
Isn't Wii U doing worse than Dreamcast? 1m for this year is a bit too much.


False equivalence. The DC was discontinued in March 2001. There is no reason to suspect that Nintendo will discontinue the Wii U before its successor, as I explained here. Furthermore, even assuming your chart is correct (I'd like to see the origin of that Dreamcast data), it's meaningless as other systems have had very similar curves to each other yet in the longer term their sales are like night and day. In the U.S. and Japan, the PS3 was tracking behind the GameCube in LTD sales until the end of 2008, and in the U.S. the Wii was tracking on par with the PS2 by the end of 2008 and ahead of it most of its life. That hasn't exactly stuck, has it? The PS3 maintained steady year-over-year growth after 2008 while the GC peaked in 2003, while the Wii will have a shorter life than the PS2 and consequently also a faster drop-off over time and thus will fall short of matching the PS2. Simplictic "System A is selling x% as much as System B was during its first year/first few months" comparisons are almost always invalid.

I remember not so long ago, the 3DS was doing really, really poorly and well, look at it now. I have faith in Nintendo, period.



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It'll just barely pull through as it is.



Aielyn said:
Seece said:

... and Pachters 149k prediction?! (Yes I know it's Pachter, and just a prediction) made me think.

Well, looks like Pachter (and certain members here) have some crow to eat. Wii U at about 220k, more than 50% more than Pachter's prediction.


Just to knitpick it would have to have been 223.5k to be more than 50% higher than Pachter's prediction :P



VGhippy said:
Aielyn said:
Seece said:

... and Pachters 149k prediction?! (Yes I know it's Pachter, and just a prediction) made me think.

Well, looks like Pachter (and certain members here) have some crow to eat. Wii U at about 220k, more than 50% more than Pachter's prediction.


Just to knitpick it would have to have been 223.5k to be more than 50% higher than Pachter's prediction :P

I'm still trying to understand why anyone gives a hoot about Pachter's predictions.



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VGhippy said:
Aielyn said:
Seece said:

... and Pachters 149k prediction?! (Yes I know it's Pachter, and just a prediction) made me think.

Well, looks like Pachter (and certain members here) have some crow to eat. Wii U at about 220k, more than 50% more than Pachter's prediction.


Just to knitpick it would have to have been 223.5k to be more than 50% higher than Pachter's prediction :P

Ah, oops - I meant to say "about".



bobfulci said:
I'm still trying to understand why anyone gives a hoot about Pachter's predictions.

I've been arguing for about 8 years now that Pachter's opinion isn't worth even 2 cents. He's an "analyst", which means that he analyses these things for a living... but it also means that he makes his money from clients who pay for his analyses. Any analysis that he releases publicly at no cost is worthless as an analysis. On the other hand, his public analyses always favour certain companies... I have little doubt that he's acting as PR for some company when he talks publicly.



Aielyn said:
VGhippy said:
Aielyn said:
Seece said:

... and Pachters 149k prediction?! (Yes I know it's Pachter, and just a prediction) made me think.

Well, looks like Pachter (and certain members here) have some crow to eat. Wii U at about 220k, more than 50% more than Pachter's prediction.


Just to knitpick it would have to have been 223.5k to be more than 50% higher than Pachter's prediction :P

Ah, oops - I meant to say "about".


I thought the Wii U sold 232k? 



I voted yeah. It should get a nice Christmas boost, although it won't do too much more.



  what they need now its not a price cut or bundles, they need to antecipate the games, if wii u had 1 strong franchise releasing per month like 3DS had this year they would be fine by now, but a gap of two to three months is killing it, super mario 3D world + mario kart 8 in this holiday could save wii u.

  the wii u still stands a chance, its up to nintendo bring us a megaton of new games in the next nintendo directs if they really want to ressurect wii u.



“On my business card, I am a corporate president. In my mind, I am a game developer. But in my heart, I am a gamer.” - Satoru Iwata