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Forums - Sales Discussion - Media Create Numbers : 2/4 - 2/10

Neos on 14 February 2008
kingofwale said:
Neos said:
kingofwale said:
we way over-estimated on SSBB's number. and undertracked Gundam's number.

no hardware number there?

yes we way overestimated it by...6%, wow!!. thats some damn overestimating, omg site should be down immediatelly!


50K difference of 300K isn't 6%, is it?


im talking about the total, who cares about the weekly, also we got it at 1.17 mil, where the hell do you get the 1.5 mil from?



Neos - "If I'm posting in this thread it's just for the lulz."
Tag by the one and only Fkusumot!

 

Around the Network
kingofwale on 14 February 2008
Neos said:
kingofwale said:
Neos said:
kingofwale said:
we way over-estimated on SSBB's number. and undertracked Gundam's number.

no hardware number there?

yes we way overestimated it by...6%, wow!!. thats some damn overestimating, omg site should be down immediatelly!


50K difference of 300K isn't 6%, is it?


im talking about the total, who cares about the weekly


again, 1500K (VGC) vs 1071K (MC) isn't 6%, is it?



Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.

KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)
Neos on 14 February 2008
kingofwale said:
Neos said:
kingofwale said:
Neos said:
kingofwale said:
we way over-estimated on SSBB's number. and undertracked Gundam's number.

no hardware number there?

yes we way overestimated it by...6%, wow!!. thats some damn overestimating, omg site should be down immediatelly!


50K difference of 300K isn't 6%, is it?


im talking about the total, who cares about the weekly


again, 1500K (VGC) vs 1071K (MC) isn't 6%, is it?


read again, we got it at 1.15 mil, which is 6%



Neos - "If I'm posting in this thread it's just for the lulz."
Tag by the one and only Fkusumot!

 

Oyvoyvoyv on 14 February 2008
kingofwale said:
Neos said:
kingofwale said:
Neos said:
kingofwale said:
we way over-estimated on SSBB's number. and undertracked Gundam's number.

no hardware number there?

yes we way overestimated it by...6%, wow!!. thats some damn overestimating, omg site should be down immediatelly!


50K difference of 300K isn't 6%, is it?


im talking about the total, who cares about the weekly


again, 1500K (VGC) vs 1071K (MC) isn't 6%, is it?


Reality says hi

 
 Super Smash Bros Brawl
   1,143,474

 

1143 - 1050 = 93/1050* 100 = 8.8 %

About 8.5% unless I miscalculated.



http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261

That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS

kingofwale on 14 February 2008

my mistake, I apologize for misreading it.



Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.

KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)
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Neos on 14 February 2008
Oyvoyvoyv said:
kingofwale said:
Neos said:
kingofwale said:
Neos said:
kingofwale said:
we way over-estimated on SSBB's number. and undertracked Gundam's number.

no hardware number there?

yes we way overestimated it by...6%, wow!!. thats some damn overestimating, omg site should be down immediatelly!


50K difference of 300K isn't 6%, is it?


im talking about the total, who cares about the weekly


again, 1500K (VGC) vs 1071K (MC) isn't 6%, is it?


Reality says hi

 
 Super Smash Bros Brawl
   1,143,474

 

1143 - 1050 = 93/1050* 100 = 8.8 %

So Neos got it 50 % wrong :P


 yea well i did it in my head, not by calculator, not far off i say



Neos - "If I'm posting in this thread it's just for the lulz."
Tag by the one and only Fkusumot!

 

NJ5 on 14 February 2008
Oyvoyvoyv said:
kingofwale said:
Neos said:
kingofwale said:
Neos said:
kingofwale said:
we way over-estimated on SSBB's number. and undertracked Gundam's number.

no hardware number there?

yes we way overestimated it by...6%, wow!!. thats some damn overestimating, omg site should be down immediatelly!


50K difference of 300K isn't 6%, is it?


im talking about the total, who cares about the weekly


again, 1500K (VGC) vs 1071K (MC) isn't 6%, is it?


Reality says hi

 
 Super Smash Bros Brawl
   1,143,474

 

1143 - 1050 = 93/1050* 100 = 8.8 %

So Neos got it 50 % wrong :P


Actually it's 1143 vs 1071, so ~6.7% difference. So Neos got it ~10.4% wrong due to rounding, and you got it ~31.3% wrong due to using a wrong number. I'm 0% wrong because I used the "~" symbol.

 



My Mario Kart Wii friend code: 2707-1866-0957

bigjon on 14 February 2008

^yes NJ5 is right the 8% was found by dividing the difference by the smaller number, you should have divided the difference by the larger number which is 6% or so. The game is sold out, maybe MC and Fam are undertracking it a bit because of that. Remember how NDP undertracked Wii in Dec because it was sold out? NDP coverage = MC/Fam coverage - ioi could be better, we won't know until an official statement from Corparate is handed down.



End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)

Wii- 72 million   3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases

360- 37 million   Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak

PS3- 29 million  Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut

bigjon on 14 February 2008

^yes NJ5 is right the 8% was found by dividing the difference by the smaller number, you should have divided the difference by the larger number which is 6% or so. The game is sold out, maybe MC and Fam are undertracking it a bit because of that. Remember how NDP undertracked Wii in Dec because it was sold out? NDP coverage = MC/Fam coverage - ioi could be better, we won't know until an official statement from Corparate is handed down.



End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)

Wii- 72 million   3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases

360- 37 million   Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak

PS3- 29 million  Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut

FishyJoe on 14 February 2008
Riot Of The Blood said:
Neos said:
kingofwale said:
we way over-estimated on SSBB's number. and undertracked Gundam's number.

no hardware number there?

yes we way overestimated it by...6%, wow!!. thats some damn overestimating, omg site should be down immediatelly!


Ioi always overtracks tokyo sells for Nintendo and untertracks Sony's stuff there.


Unless you have statistical proof, you shouldn't make broad statements like this. Anecdotal evidence need not  apply.