These games seem to be the big hitting exclusives for each next gen console during Q1 2014. Which will reign surpreme and be the best selling?
For the past 20 years console Donkey Kong has sold pretty consistantly. There were 3 DKC games released on SNES which sold 9.30m, 5.15m, and 3.51m which averages about 6m on an install base of 49m. DK64 did 5.27 on an install base of 33m and DKC Returns did 6.01m on an install base of 100m. So DK does about 5-6m as long as it has an install base of 30m. Based off that even if Wii U only ends up with GC level sales, DK should be able to sell at least 3-4m. Ill go ahead and say Tropical Freeze will sell 4.5-5.5m.
PS3 had 2 Infamous games which sold 2.64m and 1.6m which averages 2.12m each. I think Sony is making a very smart move by pushing Infamous and Killzone as the big exclusives in the launch window since they are both B-tier sellers and doing this could push them up to the A-tier along with God of War and Uncharted. I think Second Son will sell 3.5-4m.
Titan Fall seems like it could replace Gears of War as the number 2 Xbox exclusive behind Halo and all 3 mainline entries sold about 6m. But this game is rumored to be only a timed exclusive and PS4 may get it eventually. Also with this being an EA game, its likely it could turn into an annual franchise which may hurt its sales. I personally think it will stay exclusive for at least a year and a sequel wont come until holiday 2015 so I see this game selling 5-6m.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.















