Yeah, but you cleaned up on the hardware estimates.  Nice allocation spread too.  :)  Although, it would've been lower if you had made predictions where you had zeroes.  ;)

Looks like Katilian has the best profit margin so far.

let's see...

Yay, i had a >1.0 allocation effectiveness.

EDIT: missed a 0 in Brawl prediction.   

^can u repost above (it's cut off) so I can't see ur returns

OMG thank you SOOOOO MUCH!

I'm up 363 bucks. My bets for both DMCs were head on, I could have been fucking rich if I hadn't let ppl on this site lead me to believe it wouldn't sell that well. My SSBB was fine because I bet 500k against my gut.

Game Prediction Wager Actual Accuracy Closeness Return Earnings
Brawl 497276 $100.00 842536 59.02% 59.02% $118.04 $18.04
DMC4 PS3 197216 $150.00 208837 94.44% 94.44% $283.31 $133.31
Wii Fit 105219 $300.00 70594 149.05% 50.95% $305.71 $5.71

Disgaea 3 75092 $100.00 58013 129.44% 70.56% $141.12 $41.12

DMC4 360 42391 $45.00 42917 98.77% 98.77% $88.90 $43.90

Wii Sports 22000 $10.00 23702 92.82% 92.82% $18.56 $8.56

Mario and Sonic 56000 $10.00 34431 162.64% 37.36% $7.47 ($2.53)

Mario Party DS 25000 $5.00 20397 122.57% 77.43% $7.74 $2.74

Wii Play 22000 $10.00 11670 188.52% 11.48% $2.30 ($7.70)

Monster Hunter 18607 $20.00 17188 108.26% 91.74% $36.70 $16.70

Wii 127319 $50.00 97723 130.29% 69.71% $69.71 $19.71
DS 100000 $5.00 69511 143.86% 56.14% $5.61 $0.61
PS3 51362 $50.00 39676 129.45% 70.55% $70.55 $20.55
PSP 60000 $50.00 69655 86.14% 86.14% $86.14 $36.14
Xbox 360 10000 $50.00 6108 163.72% 36.28% $36.28 ($13.72)

Total/Average $955.00 66.89% $1,278.14 $323.14
Equal Allocation Return $1,277.66
Allocation Effectiveness 1.00
Earnings Ratio 0.338370231

Way to go, 40% profit margin.  Kickass.  :)

Also good job DMJ, risked a lot and made a lot. 

Not even half-good, I lost too much money on wii sport and wii play.

Thanks for the spreadsheet, very useful. :) 

 y r u still so poor? I don't remember u being banned or anything

You matched me in profit margins.  :)  I think anything above 20% is worthwhile.

@wiiforever, the final results aren't tabulated until 2 weeks after the initial numbers go up, to allow time for adjustments to be made as more data comes in.  So money won't be awarded for another week and a half.

I got totally slammed because I thought DMC4 would sell better on the 360! HAH. Plus i did not believe they would have even had that many brawls available to sell. I put 400000 and thought it would sell out.

Anyway, thank you so much for the excel spreedsheet. I love it. I think we should update even further with charts!

Looks like I did better than most people. I won $64.06. I was almost perfect on Wii and PS3. I got a 0% on Wii Play (losing $5.00), and I lost $0.69 on Mario Party DS. Other than that, I made money on everything. 69.1% closeness average. Did anyone top my average?