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Forums - Sales - 15 games will outsell Super Smash Bros. Brawl this gen.

I think SSBB will probably catch up to Halo 3 too.

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This is what I thought of your list back then... I think I am still correct on everything but Animal Crossing Wild World. (new stuff in red)

1. Wii Sports 18.52M (of course)
2. Nintendogs 17.35M (definately)
3. Pokemon Diamond/Pearl 13.65M (Yep)
4. New Super Mario Bros. 13.16M (Very very probably)
Super Smash Bros 64 + Melee 12.13M
5. Brain Training 11.69M (Yes)
6. More Brain Training 9.85M (Aye)
7. Wii Play 9.70M (Yarr! for sure)
8. Mario Kart DS 9.45M (possibly)
9. Animal Crossing: Wild World 8.90M (I am doubtful, but maybe) (I shouldn't have been doubtful)
Super Smash Bros Melee 6.58M
Super Smash Bros 64 5.55M
10. Super Mario Galaxy 5.54M (I think it unlikely)
11. Wii Fit 1.28M (Yes again)
12. Mario Kart Wii (Yep)

And, additional games of which at least 3 will beat Brawl...

Animal Crossing Wii (nope)
Grand Theft Auto IV 360 (very doubtfull)
Subsequent GTA games for any home system (no idea)
Halo 3 7.13M (nope) (this is undecided for me now, I think SSBB will pass it but I am not so certain)
Gran Turismo 5 (unlikely, but it's hard to say)
Subsequent Brain Training games for DS or Wii (perhaps for DS, unlikely for Wii)
Subsequent Nintendogs games for DS or Wii (subsequent Nintendogs games so far have been exactly the same game)
Wii Music or other as-of-yet-unknown Wii brand games (very doubtful on Wii music, no idea for the unknown)
Other unknown game(s) (maybe)

 



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Erik Aston said:

And I'll name them. At least 10 of them should be pointing out the obvious.

People are exaggerating how big Brawl is going to be. Sales estimates well above 15 million, talk of how its "Nintendo's biggest franchise" or will be the "defining game on Wii." Biggest case in point: on theSimExchange, Brawl is valued above 17M in sales. At its highest, it topped 20M. 

Let me first name 12 sure bets. I guarentee that each and every one of these games will sell more than Brawl. (Sales numbers from earlier today.)

1. Wii Sports 18.52M
2. Nintendogs 17.35M
3. Pokemon Diamond/Pearl 13.65M
4. New Super Mario Bros. 13.16M
    Super Smash Bros 64 + Melee 12.13M
5. Brain Training 11.69M
6. More Brain Training 9.85M
7. Wii Play 9.70M
8. Mario Kart DS 9.45M
9. Animal Crossing: Wild World 8.90M
    Super Smash Bros Melee 6.58M
    Super Smash Bros 64 5.55M
10. Super Mario Galaxy 5.54M
11. Wii Fit 1.28M
12. Mario Kart Wii

And, additional games of which at least 3 will beat Brawl...

Animal Crossing Wii
Grand Theft Auto IV 360
Subsequent GTA games for any home system
Halo 3 7.13M
Gran Turismo 5
Subsequent Brain Training games for DS or Wii
Subsequent Nintendogs games for DS or Wii
Wii Music or other as-of-yet-unknown Wii brand games
Other unknown game(s)

Brawl will cruise past the sales of the previous versions. It will make a run at 10 million sales. But it will not be the biggest game this generation. It will not sell 12, 15 or 20 million.

 

Your first 9, I don't question (although I do question where you got this data from)

 

The thing is, Melee was in a way the game that defined the gamecube, and it was the highest seller there.

 

10 Melee beat Sunshine, I think brawl has a chance to beat galaxy

11 I have very high expectations for Wii Fit, it's not a shame to come second to it

12 Melee beat double dash, this one could go either way but I think you're right

13 Animal Crossing Wii We've heard basically nothing about this game, who knows how it will go

 

Still, at number 13 I've noticed that all games noted here are 1st party Nintendo or Pokemon

 

14 GTA IV (360) Wow, big call. you sure about this one??

15 Halo 3 - Dont make me laugh, Halo 3 will do well, but Brawl's legs will ensure that eventually it overtakes it

16 Gran Tourismo - It's possible, its a very high selling franchise, and I'm not going to argue. This one could also go either way

17 Further Brain Training/Nintendogs games - I'm not even sure if there will be any

18 Other unknown game(s) I'll reserve judgement on this peculiarly named game



^scottie, best to check the date of the OP... this is an old prediction.

And with the hindsight you should not be saying "could go either way" for SSBB vs. MarioKart



Yea......their isnt much sense in this post youre just annoyed of the game and feel like arguing and talking against it I guess.

Shouldnt have started the thread in the first place.



Valkyria00 said:
Yea......their isnt much sense in this post youre just annoyed of the game and feel like arguing and talking against it I guess.

Shouldnt have started the thread in the first place.

 

Not at all. I thought the early sales projections for the game were funny, and this thread was able to collect some of them and show how ridiculous they sound just a few months later.

That's not a dig against the game itself, which will become the best-selling fighting game of all time in a few months. It just never had a chance to sell 17 million.



"[Our former customers] are unable to find software which they WANT to play."
"The way to solve this problem lies in how to communicate what kind of games [they CAN play]."

Satoru Iwata, Nintendo President. Only slightly paraphrased.

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The reason some people disagree with you, is that you write a bit arrogantly in this post. That doesn't mean it's not correct.

 

1. Wii Sports 18.52M (of course)
2. Nintendogs 17.35M (definately)
3. Pokemon Diamond/Pearl 13.65M (Without a doubt)
4. New Super Mario Bros. 13.16M (No problem)
Super Smash Bros 64 + Melee 12.13M
5. Brain Training 11.69M (Yes)
6. More Brain Training 9.85M (Certainly)
7. Wii Play 9.70M (of course)
8. Mario Kart DS 9.45M (Yeppers)
9. Animal Crossing: Wild World 8.90M (Yerr)
Super Smash Bros Melee 6.58M
Super Smash Bros 64 5.55M
10. Super Mario Galaxy 5.54M Nope)
11. Wii Fit 1.28M (Yes )
12. Mario Kart Wii (Yep)

 

 

Animal Crossing Wii (Couldn't possibly make it.)
Grand Theft Auto IV 360 (Not a shred of hope)
Subsequent GTA games for any home system (Incredibly doubtful)
Halo 3 7.13M (about 50-50 I guess)
Gran Turismo 5 (Probably, but hard to tell)
Subsequent Brain Training games for DS or Wii (doubtful for DS, more doubtful for Wii
Subsequent Nintendogs games for DS or Wii (nope)
Wii Music or other as-of-yet-unknown Wii brand games (very doubtful on Wii music)
Other unknown game(s) (has a good shot.)

But in fact, this list isn't surprising.

 



http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261

That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS

Erik Aston said:
Valkyria00 said:
Yea......their isnt much sense in this post youre just annoyed of the game and feel like arguing and talking against it I guess.

Shouldnt have started the thread in the first place.

 

Not at all. I thought the early sales projections for the game were funny, and this thread was able to collect some of them and show how ridiculous they sound just a few months later.

That's not a dig against the game itself, which will become the best-selling fighting game of all time in a few months. It just never had a chance to sell 17 million.

 Well im not saying it had that chance its just he is bashing the hell out of Brawl.



What a dumb thread. You basically listed a dozen DS games. What failure. How about list 15 wii/360/PS3 SINGLE platform games.... lol, thought not.



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Falcon095 said:
PredictSales said:

GTA IV killed SSBB in one week.

 

 lol. So you really think it will sell more than SSBB?

LOLOLOL, I see you're a SSBB fan and you have that in signature - but face it, although I know it's hard - GTA IV sold more than SSBB in one week than like SSBB has done in its Lifetime to date.

 



TWRoO said:
wiiforever said:
TWRoO said:
^ Tell me why Brawl will sell more than MK?

 there is like 873457845983498 times the hype!


Maybe among our repressed and ignorant gaming community yes.... but if that hype will still not outsell Mario Kart.


This is completely true. Mario Kart is going to outsell SSBB. Also someone said that Brawl is more popular than Mario Kart. This is an incorrect statement. Mario Kart is one of the most popular franchises of all time and didn't have to be hyped out the ying-yang like Brawl. Don't get me wrong, Brawl is a great game . I'm just sick of all the Brawl is better than Mario Kart and it will outsell it because I said so crap. @ OP. Notice that almost all of the games he listed are Nintendo games? I say that a non-Nintendo developed game will not outsell Brawl.



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