That was 404 copies, not sure about the triumphalism here...
How Much Units Will 101 sell FW in US? | |||
| Over 50k FW! | 75 | 31.25% | |
| 40k-50k | 27 | 11.25% | |
| 30k-40k | 24 | 10.00% | |
| 20k-30k | 34 | 14.17% | |
| 10k-20k | 38 | 15.83% | |
| under 10k [Bomb] | 41 | 17.08% | |
| Total: | 239 | ||


That was 404 copies, not sure about the triumphalism here...
Nyleveia said:
41m is a bit of a stretch, id say 38 tops. |

tbone51 said:
your crazy as hell, im willing to bet it'll do way over 38mil! You do know its at 33.3mil now right? Srry this one you need to think about. Your statement puts it at 10mil top this year? 2011= 12.5mil /// 2012= 13.8mil! you really think it'll be less? thats madness! |
13.8 million in 12 months, there are only 4 months left of the year. 13.8/12*4=4.6, 33.3+4.6=37.9
12.5 2011 (averages to 1.04m/month)
13.8 2012 (averages to 1.15m/month)
12.5+13.8= 26.3, 33.3 - 26.3 =7m so far in 2013
7m 2013 (so far - averages to 0.87m/month)
4.6m is using the monthly average from the best sales year, 2012.
3.5m is using the monthly averahe from the current year, 2013.
7+4.6=11.6m
7+3.5=10.5m
To hit 38m they would need to sell 6.7m units, or increase their monthly average from 0.87m to 1.67m, to hit 41m units as you predict, they would need to increase that average to 2.42m, TWICE that, and then some, of their best average so far.
Im not crazy, Im just realistic.
Also to go back to the topic, selling copies of a game in LIMITED numbers, TWO WEEKS BEFORE RELEASE, with the potential of your game being a SIGNED COPY, at a convention where infinitely more attendees than units for sale will be, is by no means an accurate portrayal of how the title will do at retail, you can bet your arse half of the copies sold are now on ebay or similar by scalpers wanting to cash in on eager buyers wanting the game early.
And a quick look suggests that is true, with multiple copies including signed copies being on ebay for twice or more their standard retail price.
Again, the sales performance at pax means *NOTHING* in relation to real world sales.
| Nyleveia said:
12.5 2011 (averages to 1.04m/month) 12.5+13.8= 26.3, 33.3 - 26.3 =7m so far in 2013 7m 2013 (so far - averages to 0.87m/month) 4.6m is using the monthly average from the best sales year, 2012. 7+4.6=11.6m To hit 38m they would need to sell 6.7m units, or increase their monthly average from 0.87m to 1.67m, to hit 41m units as you predict, they would need to increase that average to 2.42m, TWICE that, and then some, of their best average so far. Im not crazy, Im just realistic. |
wanna bet it sells more than 38mil?

| tbone51 said: wanna bet it sells more than 38mil? |
Want to bet it sells more than the 41m you predicted?,
Total sales hit more than 41m, I receive permanent ban
Total sales less than 41m, You receive permanent ban
@Nyleveia
i dont want anyone banned lol! I was thinking a month of sig (1 sentence at the top of mine if i lose).

| tbone51 said: @Nyleveia |
Thats weak, though. put your money where your mouth is if youre that certain, otherwise theres no point, sig control means nothing.
So, W101 caused a 404 error. It is nowhere to be found anymore, which explains the low sales.
唯一無二のRolStoppableに認められた、VGCの任天堂ファミリーの正式メンバーです。光栄に思います。
| OdinHades said: So, W101 caused a 404 error. It is nowhere to be found anymore, which explains the low sales. |

Nyleveia said:
|
well if thats how you feel, i'll come back to you showing you how bad your prediction was before the years even over! Srry for wasting your time :0
