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Forums - Sales - Poll : which is the next system to die and why?

hmm what do i think will die first?

ps2, psp, ds, 360, wii, ps3 (assuming what i heard about the ps3 lifespan being a decade is true)



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PS2, it's currently on its deathbed. Still has a ways to go though.

Then PSP, especially if Sony announces a PSP2 in the near future. Last to die will be the Wii, anyone that says it will die "first" is a deluded fool. =))))



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PS2 probably only will have another year left in it or so.. but its run has been remarkable. Not like the xbox 360, which seems to have pulled out all the stops and is in last place in every country other than the US.

 



Let me explain my prediction....

I hired a man named...jim.. and that's about where it ends. wahahahaha.




i would say the ps3 just because it has the worst games



N64 is the ONLY console of the fifth generation!

bet with *no one yet* that the combined first week of Monster Hunter 3 in america and europe will be 600k or more! winner changes looser sig and avatar for two months!

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I think PS2 cause its the oldest system, then either 360 or psp, 360 has been out the longest of current crop and psp has appalling software sales, then DS or Wii depending on which one Nintendo decides to replace first then finally ps3 cause it will have the longest lifespan



 

 

DSLover said:
I think PS2 cause its the oldest system, then either 360 or psp, 360 has been out the longest of current crop and psp has appalling software sales, then DS or Wii depending on which one Nintendo decides to replace first then finally ps3 cause it will have the longest lifespan

 Why will PS3 have the longest lifespan, you do realize that the market not Sony decides how long a console lives



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

Out of that list - PS2 - although frequency of titles is a much better measure. If someone releases a single DC game tomorrow, does that mean the DC is not yet dead?

PSP will be the first to die though - releases/volume is already a lot lower. We'll see what happens when Sony releases GT Mobile - it could single handedly revive the (software) on the platform. 



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i won't predict software death, as each year the new gh game will be on ps2 as well and there are still some games made for old systems here and there...so i'll just predict when each console/handheld will get its replacement launched (so ps2 is already done)

 psp->360->ps3->wii

i didn't put ds in because a new ds will only come out if/when psp2 launches with a touchscreen and has some differentiators that give it a strategic advantage over the ds...otherwise, no reason for Nintendo to make a successor to the ds anytime soon 

 

360/ps3 will release consoles before Nintendo because they HAVE to

in the next 5 years, there will be as many 'non-gamers' joining the market as there are currently 'gamers'...they will join because of the wii and the wiimote

sony/ms aren't dumb...they won't want to be unable to compete for HALF of the market...they will release new consoles that will have full motion/ir controls so they can have a shot at getting some users from that half of the market

gamepads are a barrier to entry for the 80% of the population that are non-gamers and wiimote gets around that



Bets:Missed by 420k I bet leo-j vg$500 that wii will sell 31 million by 7/31/08.  Sorry, I don't think he has enough vg$ to make it with all of u that wish you could. Hit, with room to spare I bet kingofwale a 1-week ban that wii Americas ltd sales>360 Americas ltd sales as of the numbers for week ending 7/05/08 (using vgchartz homepage #s)

Predictions:

Wii will sell 18-20mil by 12/31/07  CHECKWii will sell 45mil+ WW by 12/31/08Wii will surpass PS2 sales WW by 11/17/11 (5yr anniversary)Wii Fit will hit 12mil sales in 2009MKWii+SSBB+Wii Fit+SMG > 50 mil sales by 2010 > gta4+mgs+gt5+ff13+haze+lbp
DMeisterJ said:
PS2 will be dead before the end of the year. Sadly. There will be no new exclusive releases, and Multiplats (like GH IV) will sell better on current-gen consoles.

imo a gh4 launching this fall will sell better on ps2 than ps3 and potentially even a gh5 in 2009 will as well

 



Bets:Missed by 420k I bet leo-j vg$500 that wii will sell 31 million by 7/31/08.  Sorry, I don't think he has enough vg$ to make it with all of u that wish you could. Hit, with room to spare I bet kingofwale a 1-week ban that wii Americas ltd sales>360 Americas ltd sales as of the numbers for week ending 7/05/08 (using vgchartz homepage #s)

Predictions:

Wii will sell 18-20mil by 12/31/07  CHECKWii will sell 45mil+ WW by 12/31/08Wii will surpass PS2 sales WW by 11/17/11 (5yr anniversary)Wii Fit will hit 12mil sales in 2009MKWii+SSBB+Wii Fit+SMG > 50 mil sales by 2010 > gta4+mgs+gt5+ff13+haze+lbp