This thread is starting to be hilarious...look up royalties table people, than (according to rumors of Sony's part in BDA of 20-30%) do the math, and you'll see Pach is pretty spot on. But, in the end, who cares, that's not that much money one way or the other, so I don't understand this sudden butthurt certain individuals are manifesting here.

Please sir some people are allergic to facts and might respond with sudden 'clarity' that will most assuredly return the thread to which Corporate entity's royalty glans is more distally located along it's cash flow shaft from its licensing pubic bone.

Since when are rumors facts?

His 70-80% quota includes predictions he makes for clients. And whatever he says on the Internet is not his job. He can say what he wants when he wants. Its not like he gets money from doing it publicly. He is good at his job or he would be long gone. What he says on the internet is not relevant at all.

His Bluray prediction is correct Sony is one of the big fish in the BR association not every member of the Bluray association gets licensing fees. 2-3 Bucks of 9 is pretty realistic. And a couple of cents per disc pressed too.

Also it doesnt even matter this amount of money is not going to change anything for Sony or MS.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blu-ray_Disc_Association

[...]

The current 18 board members (as of June 2013) are:[4]

    Dolby Laboratories Inc.
    DTS Inc.
    Hitachi, Ltd.
    Intel Corporation
    LG Electronics
    Mitsubishi Electric
    Oracle Corporation
    Panasonic Corporation
    Pioneer Corporation
    Royal Philips Electronics
    Samsung Electronics
    Sharp Corporation
    Sony Corporation
    TDK Corporation
    Technicolor
    20th Century Fox
    Walt Disney Motion Pictures Group
    Warner Bros. Entertainment

[...]

It's possible that Sony's share be 10% or even something more, but 20-30% is very unlikely. Samsung, Philips, Panasonic, Mitsubishi, Sony, LG, Pioneer and Hitachi are, or were when they created association and standard, all big in optical drives, while TDK is the biggest of the whole association in optical discs, Oracle provided the Java dialect for the interactive contents, Intel, Dolby and the others added some other things. But even just counting the biggest members in the sole optical tech and imagining other techs account for, say, no more than 10%, it's quite difficult to stretch Sony's share up to 20% or beyond.
But let's accept 20%, that means something less than $2 per unit from MS to Sony, not $2-3.

Anyhow, like I already wrote, I still think that if we sum the money on HW and installed SW and FW royalties, plus the royalties on discs, plus the value of MS endorsing and helping spreading the standard (relative value further increased by the fact that during the format war MS was instead fighting AGAINST BD), the benefit for Sony is far bigger than those hundreds million $.

Exactly what I thought. MS using Bluray will increase potential Bluray users by a lot.

Even counting only the 9 initial members and taking into account those four were the top IP holders, they'd have to divide a share smaller than 100%, as the others members have a share too. Then you must add the other 9 members that entered later, each one giving its big or little contribution. TDK gave a big one, amongst its tech contributions there was one for hardening the external layer of the discs enough to not require a cartridge. Then there is Oracle, owner of Java, used as basis for BD-J. Then there are the patents cross-licensed on audio and video codecs, processing and filters. Then there is one of the most important techs in BD, and its most iconic, the blue laser diode itself, Sony owns part of the techs of one of the most widespread implementations, but it isn't the sole owner of it and it hasn't exclusive rights on it, this contributes to further divide royalties on the most important patents of the standard. And all this just to mention the most known contributions. "Doesn't even have 30%" doesn't necessarily mean "close to 30%", it depends on the context, and this one was quite negative, about denying that BD was a mainly Sony-owned standard. Add that he wrote "the top four are LIKELY", not surely and implying their share exceed the one of others but not overwhelmingly. Anyhow, as I wrote, stretching Sony's estimated share to 20% starts being in the difficult range, but not impossible or unlikely, stretching it further becomes unlikely. We are still in the same order of magnitude for the estimate, anyhow, unlike those that underestimate Sony's share putting it around or below 10% and underestimating the royalties due on each console too, making the order of magnitude drop from hundreds to tens million $. Anyhow, as I wrote, MS adoption of BD will probably help Sony in a far larger measure than the money directly given to it.

Soooo what do we take from this unconfirmed figure? MS giving Sony some of their pocket change relatively speaking?

Microsoft negotiated a deal with the Blu-Ray association quite a long time ago prior to Windows 7.  My guess is that parts of it are still in effect.

For instance, Microsoft doesn't use any of the Blu-Ray software, they developed their own for Windows.  Otherwise, every Windows installation would require Java for Blu-Ray playback, and it doesn't. 

The pricing structure is interesting, but I doubt relates directly to what Microsoft is paying.  Sony and Microsoft, for instance, would have easily negotated pricing for either technologies Sony is using of Microsoft's or Windows licenses.

So I doubt Microsoft is paying anything, they're just not making as much on something else.