pezus said:
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TheLastStarFighter said: The problem with the OP is that this fall no one is going to buy the Wii U instead of the PS4 and vice-versa. They are definitely competitors for consumer dollars, but not until 2014. This fall every PS4 (and XBOne) is going to be gobbled up by rabbid fanboys and tech heads who need the latest thing. Sony won't be able to make enough of them... just like the Wii U last Christmas. Once that surge is done, the real demand will be revealed and the battle for the lucrative mass-market will begin. At that point the mainstream buyer will be cross-shopping consoles and price will be a major factor. This is why I would expect a price drop in spring 2014 to coincide with the MarioKart release. There are other flaws with the OP, but that's mostly just natural bias that comes with being King of Playstation.
1. PS4 is not the cheapest Playstation because it is the first with an annual fee. 2. PS4 doesn't have more games, and it isn't better looking. 3. History also shows that general consumers won't pay more for more power. They will pay more for more perceived value, but microchips inside don't deliver that. The touchscreen is about as likely to make something seem high end as the processors. 4. There is something to be said for the Sony brand name, but the Wii/PS3 debacle shows that the public can be convinced anything is worth more if it catches their imagination. There is potential for a fall Wii U price drop, but it has nothing to do with what will be a sold-out PS4. It's the battle the Wii U is fighting with itself. If Nintendo finds that consumers will not pay $299-$349 for one of their consoles no matter what, they may need to drop the price. They may need to do this to move units because they simply aren't selling, but not because people are buying PS4s instead. 2014 is when the console war will begin in earnest, but Nintendo desperately needs to build an install base this fall if they hope to have any 3rd party support and more importantly any market traction. People buy what their friends have, and if no one has Wii U's by 2014 it will be a hard pitch to get them to start then when PS4s and XBOnes are readily available. I could see a desperation price cut to $275-$299 for Deluxe Wii U's if sales aren't improving, but if sale volume is moderate I would expect Wii U to get its price drop in the spring.
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1. What does the optional Plus subscription have to do with the price of the console? I could just as easily say that it's cheaper because of the subscription, since you get 12 new and recent games for the price of $50 per year.
2. That's not what I said. I said game support, which is 100% undeniable truth. I said better looking was subjective, but judging by everything I've seen so far all over the internet and in real life I'd say most people think PS4 is quite sexy.On the flipside, WiiU lacks the cool factor.
3. PS3, the most powerful 7th gen console has been dominating home console sales for years now, or ever since people got over the newness of motion controls and PS3 got closer to Wii and 360 in price. When the difference is only 50 or 100 dollars, I'd say power is a massive draw. Especially early on when the hardcore gamers choose their console.
4. True, but that doesn't really refute my point. Look at how Sony managed to turn PS3 around into a beast WW that is still selling very well 7 years on, week after week. And it's only getting started in some regions.
You think Nintendo won't try to combat PS4 and One? Nintendo aren't in a vacuum, and they've done stuff like this before. If they want to get any sort of attention (significantly more than it's getting now) this holiday they will need to drop the price. Mark my words. And the best timing would be just prior to the other consoles' launches.
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-The plus subscription is very relevant to pricing. PS4 is able to be $399 because Sony can safely assume that at least 50% of owners will subscribe, creating extra revenue that was lacking on PS3. Assuming an 8 year life span, that means the cost of being a Playstation gamer is more this gen than ever before. $799 for a launch system purchase. The games are a nice bonus, but its not optional and personally I don't care about it. My tastes are specific and I mostly buy new titles and AAA titles. So for me (and most, since most software is purchased early and most consumers only purcase 10 titles for the life of their console) the bonus games are of little value. But having to pay to play COD online is a significant new cost to a significant number of owners.
-What is the difference between games and games support? As a consumer I buy for games. PS4 will not have more games this fall. Wii U will have more games. In time I have little doubt that PS4 will have more gaming options, but objectively speaking, as you like to say, this fall - which is the time frame your talking about - Wii U will have more games.
-Internet chatter about the look of a console is irrelevant. Sony fans love the look of Sony products and there are lots of Sony fans on the internet. I think it looks good. Much better than PS3, better but not as distinctive as PS2. I think Wii U looks great. Both are nice systems. Neither are especially remarkable, and outside of something really unique (and good - eg Wii) or unique and bad (eg Gamecube) I don't think looks are overly relevant. You just like the look of PS4 because you are excited about. Personally I like the thinness of it.
-Power is relevant for longevity. It helped the SNES, it helped PS3 and it somewhat helped XB360. It is of little impact as to why Wii U needs a price cut in the near future. It will be of significant impact down the line.
I think Nintendo absolutely will be battling PS4 and XB1. I think the three systems will be going head to head for consumer attention and dollars and the market will be fierce. I just don't think many will be cross-shopping this fall. PS4 will be in too limited supply and too pricey for all but the most dedicated Playstation fans to get a copy. Those that want it won't even consider Wii U and have been anticipating this launch since 2006. True cross shopping won't happen until after Christmas when buying slows down and systems are readily available on store shelves. At that stage I think Wii U will need a price cut to compete. I expect one to come near or before the release of MarioKart 8.
That said, a Wii U cut is very possible just before PS4 launch to dry to drum up excitement and hype for Wii U. Nintendo may also need to do it if sales continue to lag as they have been. But this would be due to a general lack of interest in Wii U because of itself, not because of PS4.