S.T.A.G.E. said:
TheLastStarFighter said:
S.T.A.G.E. said:
TheLastStarFighter said:
No, Wii U sold at about 88% of Wii sales through Christmas. Wii was sold at Nintendo's maximum capacity, so Wii U were just under that. It doesn't matter where you or I live, Wii U sold through its shipments. There weren't people fighting to get a unit, but if you saw one at a store, it probably wasn't the same one you saw there next week. It was only after Christmas that the stock began too stagnate.
This will be the same for PS4 and XBOne.
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The Wii U sold very strong because it was a launch window. They will all have strong launch windows, but the PS4 will sell strongerer than its competition overtime because of a superior software window to balance out the initial sales and a fair market price for the tech inside of it. The third party titles that cannot be attained on current gen consoles will be secondary selling point for the new consoles.
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Few consumers understand or care about the tech inside. The PS4 is also more expensive than Wii U which could be an issue. Most games are available on PS360. Exclusive titles are from weak franshises such as Killzone, Knack, iNfamous and Drive Club. I'm not certain that early 2014 will be kind to PS4. To me its primary advantage is that AAA support for PS360 will be drying up in 2014. Whereas potential Wii U consumers saw a void of games contrasted with top releases for PS360 like GOW, GOW, Bioshock, etc, PS4 will be compared to dying predecessors, and Wii U. At $499 and with a similar game selection XBOne will be a very tough sell.
For PS4 to be strong during the winter months it will need to convince consumers that they should leave behind their PS360s and pay $399 for shinier versions of games they can play on their PS360. And also purchase it instead of what will likely be a sub $300 Wii U with a very different library of popular family-friendly fare such as Mario 3D, Wii Party and the soon-to-arrive MarioKart. I honestly think the winter/spring will be slow for PS4, but a large part of that will depend on if Nintendo can get consumers to consider Wii U as an option. If Wii U continues to be ignored and XBOne is rejected, I could see sales for PS4 at a moderate level rather than poor...but I don't see it lighting up the chartz at $399. It's just too pricey for most families to buy outside of Christmas.
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You're right, few consumers care about the tech inside, but once they see the new level eye candy for a good price during the holidays they will more than likely fork over for that product vs the competiiton. I wont argue about what titles are weak or not but the fact of the matter is the core will be purchasing PS4's for their exclusives, its what core gamers do and thats what an initial launch window is a signifier of. This is why Sony went to IGN because they want a one on one with the core to hype them up for the PS4. I dont believe the PS4's offerings are weak so we're not going to agree there, not only myself but the media has also stated that this is probably the best first party launch a Playstation has ever had and its only going to get better at Gamescom for Sony and Microsoft in the offerings.
$400 is a fair market price for all that is iside the box. This is exactly what put the 360 ahead of the PS3...the $399 price point even though they have no years head start, but really Sony doesn't need it.
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Just so I'm clear I'm not saying the titles for PS4 are bad titles, I mean they are weak in terms of proven sales potential. And I don't see the eye candy being better at this stage. The Last of Us, to me, looks better than Killzone SF, even if Killzone is technically superior. And yes, the $399 helped the XBOne, but it also sold poorly, about the same as Wii U during its first year.
I like the PS4. I think the price point is a good place to launch it. I am seriously considering buying one. I think the games are good. But I also think it will sell slowly to start after an initial surge during Christmas. It doesn't have enough truly exciting exclusive games, most games are cross-gen, and the price is too high for mass-market appeal. These factors mean that Wii U doesn't need to cut price due to PS4. It may need a cut because of itself, but not because of the PS4.
