| RolStoppable said: 1.75m I see that tbone51 baited another user into a bet with his usual outrageous predictions. |
So you predict that Mario & Luigi: Dream Team wont be very heavily front loaded at all? That or you don't think it will sell as well as the others? Honestly I don't know what to expect, but I think it would sell at least as good as the latest in the series.
| RolStoppable said: 1.75m I see that tbone51 baited another user into a bet with his usual outrageous predictions. |
wattttttt>>>> you are agreeing wit me though? I said over a mil by years end!
RolStoppable said:
America and Europe don't buy 3DS games at a high rate at the moment, that's why. The game will probably sell about 3m units in its lifetime with nearly none of the additional 1.25m after 2013 coming from Japan. |
I don't know about that exactly, but either way they will be buying more during the holiday and when pokemon X and pokemon Y come out. I think the sales really are just fine considering how some of the games released are ports.
RolStoppable said:
That bet is easy to win, because it's such a straightforward prediction to make. The series has always been on handhelds, was always made by the same developers, was always the same formula and had regular releases since its inception. There aren't many factors that could skew things, the only unknown is how strong the 3DS userbase will react to it as it is the first installment on that system. Also, Soleron is terrible at setting the stakes. 1m is hardly fair when one prediction is 0.7m and the other 3.11m. |
pikmin 3 bet isnt so easy though! also you made a prediction when i said LM2 will sell 3.2mil and you said 900k or 1mil(forgot exact #) guess that was hardly fair :0...
RolStoppable said:
You first suggested to win our bet if LM2 sells 1m by the end of the year which I didn't accept for the obvious reason that it would be way too favorable for you. 2m was a fairer amount, because it was almost right in the middle. And if the game didn't do much, much, much better in Japan than expected, you would lose that bet despite my prediction I made out of spite. The Pikmin 3 bet shouldn't be hard to win, because your chances increased due to the delay. That makes the 12 month window more favorable to you, because the game launches at the tail end of the Wii U's most troublesome period instead of the beginning of it. With 8-10m Wii U's sold by August 2014, Pikmin 3 only needs an attach rate of 10-12.5%. That shouldn't be a problem, because good Nintendo games sell. |
interesting>>> i knew japan would do well (LM2) even without japan though then LM2 could sell round 2.0-2.2mil by years end imo. Just a question(no additional bets) but how much do you think it'll sell by the end of the year now?
RolStoppable said:
About 2.5m. It will fade away in Japan eventually and it's likely overtracked in America and Europe at the moment. April NPD showed that VGC is over. LM2 also shows up in the top 10 individual formats UK chart, but apparently that takes only about 1,000 units nowadays. Extrapolated to the whole of Europe that's going to be about 5k units per week, so not particularly good legs. There will be a holiday boost, but it's not going to reach 3m worldwide by the end of the year. |
Overtracked was already adjusted. If it werent it be 2mil here. anywayz it'll hit over 3mil by years end>>> but we'll see soon enough who's right!
3.5 - 4 million
| Screamapillar said: 3.5 - 4 million |
pick 1 and also its end of 2013 not lifetime! (unless you knew that already)
tbone51 said:
|
Global 2013 sales will be 2 million. Lifetime 4 million.
1.47
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.
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