Slarvax

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Slarvax on 12 July 2017

b00moscone said:

fedfed said:
Can Splatoon open at 500k unit week one in Japan?

Easily. I'd expect at least 800k FW.

Hold your horse. That's a near 80% attach rate at launch (maybe 70%, if we include all the Switches sold that same week). I would say at least 600k, but nowhere near 1 million.

No Switch game has sold 600k units yet btw.

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outlawauron on 12 July 2017

Slarvax said:

b00moscone said:

Easily. I'd expect at least 800k FW.

Hold your horse. That's a near 80% attach rate at launch (maybe 70%, if we include all the Switches sold that same week). I would say at least 600k, but nowhere near 1 million.

No Switch game has sold 600k units yet btw.

If Zelda can sell more copies than Switches in the US, then it's not outside the realm of possibility of people to get the game while they're on waiting list essentially for a Switch.

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b00moscone on 12 July 2017

Slarvax said:

b00moscone said:

Easily. I'd expect at least 800k FW.

Hold your horse. That's a near 80% attach rate at launch (maybe 70%, if we include all the Switches sold that same week). I would say at least 600k, but nowhere near 1 million.

No Switch game has sold 600k units yet btw.

No horses will be held! I'm basing it off of this:

"According to Comg's twitter, pre-orders of Splatoon 2 have almost reached the planned first shipment number. At the moment is still possible to pre-order, so they recommend to do it before it's too late.

https://www.twitter.com/comg_nakajyou/status/883891546579320832"

This was when Splatoon 2 pre-order numbers were at about 775 points. I would then assume the first shipment is around 800. Provided the ratio stays at around 1:1000, we can expect an opening of around 800k. I do expect it to really rock Japan as well.

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Slarvax on 12 July 2017

outlawauron said:

Slarvax said:

Hold your horse. That's a near 80% attach rate at launch (maybe 70%, if we include all the Switches sold that same week). I would say at least 600k, but nowhere near 1 million.

No Switch game has sold 600k units yet btw.

If Zelda can sell more copies than Switches in the US, then it's not outside the realm of possibility of people to get the game while they're on waiting list essentially for a Switch.

I don't think that can be possible outside of launch. Even if people without Switches were to buy Spla2n, there should still be a small amount of people that are not interested in Spla2n and have a Switch. It would be insane if Spla2n outsells the Switch.

Though if it does happen, I'll have a nice laugh

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outlawauron on 12 July 2017

Slarvax said:

outlawauron said:

If Zelda can sell more copies than Switches in the US, then it's not outside the realm of possibility of people to get the game while they're on waiting list essentially for a Switch.

I don't think that can be possible outside of launch. Even if people without Switches were to buy Spla2n, there should still be a small amount of people that are not interested in Spla2n and have a Switch. It would be insane if Spla2n outsells the Switch.

Though if it does happen, I'll have a nice laugh

Indeed. I'll clarify a bit, I'm not predicting Splatoon 2 FW > Switch LTD. I'm just saying that huge attach rate isn't out of the question.

Personally, I think that the ratio for Splat2 will likely be less than people are predicting. Game is more likely to have a long burn, not necessarily a huge FW.

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Luke888 on 12 July 2017

The biggest question is how many of the Switches Nintendo has been saving up for Splatoon 2's release are part of Splatoon Bundles, I can easily see more than 100k bundles and that would already give a huge boost to the atach rate