Q1 Wii U had bottomed out to a 30k week every week. Then LEGO City Undercover and Need for Speed launched. Wii U doubled to 60k then 70k. Seemed to be going well. Proving that the console simply needs games for it to increase sales to respectable levels.

So how is Q2 looking? Well, Q2 is one week in and sales are going back down again; 40k this last week.

April has one confirmed game:
Injustice Gods Among Us - A fighter game that screams quality but is multiplatform and not a genre that typically sells consoles.

May is better with many games launching:
Dues Ex: Human Revolution Directors Cut - an old remake that should fix many areas and make a good game great. But not a true exclusive.
Resident Evil Revelations - a solid game that is a port from 3DS to all platforms.
LEGO Batman 2: DC Heroes - LEGO games are fantastic, but this one isn't exclusive as it will be everywhere.
Fast and the Furious: Showdown - yep... its coming here too.
Sniper Elite V2 - yawn.

June has no confirmed games.

However, NONE of the first party games have been given firm dates, but there are four that have been slated for Q2 for awhile now.
Pikmin 3 - great looking game and possibly a system seller to an extant, but it was supposed to be a launch window game. Where are you?
Game & Wario - fun, but not system selling.
Wonderful 101 - looks great, but I wouldn't expect this new IP to be a massive system seller. Combined with good marketing it will do well though.
Wii Fit U - sorry, but this ship has sailed. The fitness game craze is a lot like Nintendogs and Brain Training. They no longer have the same appeal and definitely don't sell systems anymore.

What this boils down to is Nintendo needs to get its first party out, especially Pikmin3 and W101. Those games in combination with good marketing, a limited sale/bundle and all the other multiplatform games will get good boosts this quarter. Nothing remarkable, but far better than 30k a week.

So, I ask you... what do you think Wii U will do IF these games all come out this quarter? Will we see a Wii U selling 100k a week? Will any of these first party games get firm dates this quarter? Will Rol end up selling his Wii U out of disgust? Will Man-Bear-Pig come in and say something off topic? How often do you pee a day?

I'd say things are going to go from awful to poor/OK. The worst days are over with the library expanding, bugs fixing, virtual console launching, word getting around and the post-Christmas lull passing. I expect average weekly sales to grow from 45k to 80k by the end of the quarter. I think Pikmin will boost things, but Wii Fit and W101 will be late releases.

Given the number of releases, and assuming those first-party titles aren't delayed...it could average in the 50k range. Possibly as high as 70k, if the Wii Fit U gets any traction, but I kind of doubt it.

Nothing I'd consider a system seller has even been announced yet, so I don't see much changing over the next 6 months, unless we hear something from E3.

Nintendo confirmed both Mario Kart and a new 3D Mario will be playable at E3. If those aren't system sellers, nothing is.

Those games aren't really "announced," though. I mean, if you want to split technical hairs, Nintendo has acknowledged the fact that they exist, which is basically what it means to ba announced. But they haven't even been titled yet.

That being the case, if it bothers you, just replace "announced" with "revealed." Or "titled."

Well if you want to get technical about it...

Makes no difference though: we know they're well in development, and will be playable at E3. Plus, it's pretty much a given they'll release during Q4 this year; Nintendo needs them to, and they know it. They'll make it happen. Like MK7 on 3DS - that game's development was pushed to the max to be out by 2011's holidays, Nintendo even called upon Retro to help them get it out in time.

I'll be honest I think Q2 looks worse than Q1 right now.

Lego City + Dragon Quest X (Japan) + Need for Speed > RE Revelations (a 3DS port, lol), Dues Ex, Game & Wario

It's a wash either way.

I don't think Pikmin 3 or W101 are coming before E3. We'd probably have release dates by now if that was the case.

Why are you showing that pick of Q1 retail games vs those 3 of the Q2 retail games?

RERev has some awesome additions due to MiiVerse. Additionally, its an RE game that received great reviews.

Better connection would have been using only exclusives....

LCU+MH3U(NA/EU)+DQX(japan) < Pikmin3+W101+G&W+WFU. Q2 certianly has the potential to be better.

As for no release dates yet... I'd say none of them in April. But a Nintendo Direct soon could have them all launching last half of May and June easily. But, yes, I am beginning to think Q2 will be 3rd party only.

We can guess. I'd wager that's what Nintendo's going for, but looking at what happened to Pikmin 3 I'm not taking that for granted.

Delays happen, even to Nintendo, and the fact that we still don't have release dates for their Q2 games means they aren't coming any time soon. They can probably hit Q4 for both of them, but I'm not 100% certain of that.

I agree, but then again, this is Mario. Pikmin's less than nothing compared to Mario - especially a 3D Mario platformer and Mario Kart. Personally, I'm fully convinced both will be out this year. They're the very definition of system sellers.

Pikmin 3 was supposed to be a Wii title. That never happened, while at the same time Nintendo put out Mario Galaxy 1 and 2, as well as Mario Kart 7, NSMBW, NSMB 2 and NSMBWU. Plus approximately 1,090 other Mario games.