There is a fair amount coming but, unfortunately, all the bigger titles are in the same genre.  That doesn't help very much and is actually a depressing commentary on the Japanese gaming industry.

I agree, though, in that a price cut by itself is never enough.  At least the library is building.  The situation in the west actually looks better in terms of games, with Tearaway and KZ:M.

I didn't expect any important reveals at one of these little streaming events, so I'm not disappointed, but I do hope we get some big announcements at one of the conferences.  Sony usually saves a lot of handheld news for TGS but that's so far away.  

baseline without any major game out there (until Soul Sacrifice) 20k. After japanese appealing games begin to roll in 70k-100K.

I think Sony has done the price around Soul Sacrifice launch date, so that the game and the PSVITA begin to sell like crazy! I bet that in Japan Sony will be promoting Soul Sacrifice A LOT!! In order to make a good synergy between an awesome game and less expensive handheld.

I really think that at the launch week of soul sacrifice, the PSVITA could sell around 70K-100k and when more games begin to roll this march the baseline will be around 80k.   When a major japanese games begin to be released (like God Eater 2, Black Panther 3 -hopefully-, Phantasy Star Online 2, FFX HD, etc) it could reach a baseline of 100k-120K.

Obviously I am being really optimistic here XD.

You're thinking with one game and a few relatively small game, the Vita will suddenly start selling on par or better than the 3DS?

It will be lucky to do 40k on any week outside the holiday period.

it should stay at 20k/week

A few good weeks, before it settles at 12k weekly. So, about 3-4k above where it is now. Last holiday's pricecuts for the system didn't do a whole lot relatively, so I won't be putting all my money on this one, even when it's permanent.

no way will it start doing  3DS numbers. it would be great if the system did around 40K a week. 

It will do around 20k a week, but with no big games it will probably fall.

I have no idea where it will settle but look at how the Wi-Fi and 3G models are priced equally. Doesn't that give you a glimpse into Sony's Vita strategy in Japan? They plan on having an always-connected dedicated video game handheld. In Japan this is especially appealing as you can be downloading games, communicating with friends...etc while on the train or something. Watch out 3DS!

It does have games coming though. Notable ones are Phantasy Star Online 2 and Soul Sacrifice. Both will have Vita bundles as well so those should really push sales.

I know that it has games coming, but those two are like the only ones and I don't see PSO2 boost the system so much and it will release during the same day as the price cut. We will just have to wait and see what happens after the 28th and Soul Sacrifice and how the sales will be, because that is what I meant.