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Forums - Sales - My Estimated Sales For Some Major Games In 2013

Deyon on 30 January 2013
FaintZ said:

And I think The Last of Us will sell more than 3m.

If the Last of Us can achieve what Uncharted 2 achieved and get a 96% metascore than yes it may sell 3 million. Other than that, i don't see it reaching 2 million in under a year.



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ps3-sales! on 30 January 2013

Your Vita games are WAY too high given the Vita's current install base. Everything else seems legit. Gears might be a bit high, I don't see it continuing the same success that the previous iterations had. Honestly I don't what to expect from Gta5.



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Deyon on 30 January 2013
ps3-sales! said:
Your Vita games are WAY too high given the Vita's current install base. Everything else seems legit. Gears might be a bit high, I don't see it continuing the same success that the previous iterations had. Honestly I don't what to expect from Gta5.

GT5 had 400k pre-orders before it launched and it sold 2.3millon first week.

Never underestimate the power of Gears of War because of the pre-order numbers.



BenVTrigger on 30 January 2013
platformmaster918 said:
BenVTrigger said:
You expect God of War to suddenly double Gears of War sales even though there's no evidence of that in either franchises history?

pre-order numbers are drastically different than in the past and Gears is historically a more front loaded franchise


I assure you I know what the pre orders look like.

 

God of War will not double Gears sales



tbone51 on 30 January 2013
JustThatGamer said:
Are those estimates lifetime sales or just for sales in 2013?

Here's my estimates for 2013 sales only.

1. Grand Theft Auto 5 (7m on PS3 / 7.5m on Xbox 360, 12.5m total)
2. Pokemon: X/Y (5m on 3DS)
3. God of War: Ascension (4.0m on PS3)
4. Gears of War: Judgement (3.0m on Xbox 360)
5. The Last of Us (2.5m on PS3)
6. Metal Gear Rising: Revengeance (0.9m on PS3 / 0.7m on Xbox 360 / 1.6m in total)
7. Tom Clancy's Splinter Cell: Blacklist (0.5m on PS3 / 1.0m on Xbox 360 / 1.5m in total)
8. Killzone: Mercenary (0.55m on PSV)
9. Rayman Legends (0.5m on Wii U)
10. Soul Sacrifice (???????Not a clue???????)



you do kno japan alone will get close to 5mil for pokemon x/y this year right?



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MARCUSDJACKSON on 30 January 2013

i can agree with most of them, but it hope: "Soul Sacrifice (3.4m on PSV and in total)" does happen as that could be big for Vita.




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Ucell on 02 February 2013
Flanneryaug said:

Most of the predictions are reasonable, except for God Of War: Ascension and Soul Sacrifice. God Of War: Ascension selling 4.8 million this year would mean that it would sell more than all other GoW's lifetime sales, while there is much less hype for this one. Also there is no way that Soul Sacrifice is going to sell 3.4M on Vita this year.


Actually VGChartz has undertracked all GoW games. God Of War 3 has sold 5.2 million units as of June 31, 2012, according to an official report by Sony.



Ucell on 02 February 2013
Deyon said:
FaintZ said:

And I think The Last of Us will sell more than 3m.

If the Last of Us can achieve what Uncharted 2 achieved and get a 96% metascore than yes it may sell 3 million. Other than that, i don't see it reaching 2 million in under a year.


Looking at the hype over it, I think it may sell close to my prediction of 3.6mil.



Ucell on 02 February 2013
kowenicki said:
Biased list or wish list, take your pick.

Evidenced by a ludicrous soul sacrifice prediction.


It is a new IP which was well-recieved in Jpan at TGS 2012, so I guess it can sell like anything.



Wh1pL4shL1ve_007 on 02 February 2013

No offence but your predictions are way off at times and kind of biased.



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