rocketpig said: Well, there's a difference between "hitches" and "30% failure rate". One can be handled while maintaining profitability. The other cannot. Also remember that MS is very new to the hardware side of things. It's not shocking that they have screwed up a fair amount over the past 7 years. Expect that to slow as their Zune/Xbox divisions get a lot more experience designing hardware that doesn't crap out in a year. And can we stop talking about the original Xbox's losses now? Back in 2001, MS fully admitted that they never expected to turn a profit on that machine. That money was forfeit before MS even spent it. They fully expected what they got (well, they probably didn't expect the Nvidia lawsuit). |
Despite an undermanned QA/testing division, the failure rate was known before MS decided to go forward with production and shipment. Microsoft cannot say they were surprised by the 360 reliability, since they signed off on it and decided to ship anyway.
The profits of the division as a whole since the inception of the orignal Xbox are relevant, because Microsoft intended to not only profit with the second generation Xbox, but to cover the losses of the first generation Xbox with that profit, setting up their division to have generated a profit overall by the end of the second generation.
The fact is that they haven't managed to find a single year of profit admid between $6 billion and $7 billion in losses since they began the project. And right now, they're setting themselves up for a paper-profit. Regardless of whether or not this is intended to convey future profitability, it's not really a profit. The division literally ran up a loss in FY08, regardless of how MS spins their accounting to hide that fact.
Considering that they released their biggest IP through their most talented second party, who is now no longer a second party, and *still* had to hide the fact that they aren't truly profitable suggests that this isn't going to convey future profitability. Not yet, anyway.
Once MS has an honest-to-God profitable year, all in, then they can look at recovering the billions of losses they've incurred so far. Until then, they're just incurring more losses.