swii26 said:
I give it 3-4 years before it passes PSP and possibly GBA
That seems plausible. If you notice the DS had a great 3rd year and 4th year. It climb the charts. Now considering nintendo brings out maybe a new model next year or 2014 and they play out their Big Cards (Pokemon gen 6 or Remakes, Zelda, DK, Another Mario 3D platformer, SSB4 [I believe it wont be like PSASBR meaning its own game and not cross play]) With AC new leaf, Fire Emblem, Luigi Mansion WW 1st half of 2013 lets see my estimates with numbers.
Right now where at 24.35mil WW
1st year we got 13.25mil sold and as of now this year 11.09.
Last couple of weeks its been selling well (not as much as last holiday but still breat) and now we have three weeks left. With great price drops and bundles we can expect great sales next weeks.
Dec15 850k
Dec22 980k
Dec29 575k My estimates
That'll add up to around 2.4mil making the year total 13.49 which should put 3DS only system up YOY.
So with this in mind total WW sales in two years should be estimated 26.75mil
Like i said above 2013 games and hopefully a couple unannounced will push hardware and 2014 with a new model and SSB4 drive up more
2013===16.5mil
2014===18mil
That should put 3DS in the 60.25mil range in 4years, but hey it can be much higher. It all depends on how Nintendo Plays things out!
This IMO. Just discuss what's your take on all of this.