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Forums - Sony Discussion - VITA Hardware Prediction Sales of 2013!

 

How many units to be sold for Vita 2013

Under 4mil 157 26.88%
 
4mil+ 69 11.82%
 
5mil+ 76 13.01%
 
6mil+ 79 13.53%
 
7mil+ 56 9.59%
 
8mil+ 44 7.53%
 
9mil+ 19 3.25%
 
10mil+ 35 5.99%
 
12mil+ 9 1.54%
 
15mil+ 40 6.85%
 
Total:584


PSV will pass 4 million lifetime sales this year, not annual. Annual sales are at 3,257k. It's 743k short of 4 million annual sales. Vita would need to sell 60% better for the 3 weeks left to make that number, and with sales for all consoles crashing post christmas, I just don't see that happening.

↓Tbone↓
I get you because technically Japan released in dec right? In that case they didn't get 4mil or close wow!




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tbone51 said:


PSV will pass 4 million lifetime sales this year, not annual. Annual sales are at 3,257k. It's 743k short of 4 million annual sales. Vita would need to sell 60% better for the 3 weeks left to make that number, and with sales for all consoles crashing post christmas, I just don't see that happening.

↓Tbone↓
I get you because technically Japan released in dec right? In that case they didn't get 4mil or close wow!


Yup, it did nearly 500k in Japan in 2011 I believe. So if the game manages to sell 500k in the next 3 weeks, it will still be short by 250k. Not that great considering PSP sold 9.6 million in its first year, and PSP released in March of that year outside of Japan, Vita has an extra month on it.



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Michael-5 said:



tbone51 said:


PSV will pass 4 million lifetime sales this year, not annual. Annual sales are at 3,257k. It's 743k short of 4 million annual sales. Vita would need to sell 60% better for the 3 weeks left to make that number, and with sales for all consoles crashing post christmas, I just don't see that happening.

↓Tbone↓
I get you because technically Japan released in dec right? In that case they didn't get 4mil or close wow!







Yup, it did nearly 500k in Japan in 2011 I believe. So if the game manages to sell 500k in the next 3 weeks, it will still be short by 250k. Not that great considering PSP sold 9.6 million in its first year, and PSP released in March of that year outside of Japan, Vita has an extra month on it.

↓Tbone↓

Yea 481k to be exact. The highest i see Vita doing (im talking great sales at best) in the next three weeks are 700k
Dec15>>> 275k
Dec22>>> 275k
Dec29>>> 150k

If they even do this miracle they be put at exactly 4mil so its a Noo...



tbone51 said:



Yea 481k to be exact. The highest i see Vita doing (im talking great sales at best) in the next three weeks are 700k
Dec15>>> 275k
Dec22>>> 275k
Dec29>>> 150k

If they even do this miracle they be put at exactly 4mil so its a Noo...

It could always be adjusted up, never say never, especially with all the adjustments going on this fall.



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Vote for the March Most Wanted / February Results

Michael-5 said:



tbone51 said:



Yea 481k to be exact. The highest i see Vita doing (im talking great sales at best) in the next three weeks are 700k
Dec15>>> 275k
Dec22>>> 275k
Dec29>>> 150k

If they even do this miracle they be put at exactly 4mil so its a Noo...




It could always be adjusted up, never say never, especially with all the adjustments going on this fall.

True, we'll see soon enough right!



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Ive read in other threads (mainly one) in order for vita to be successful they need to at least sell 40mil (most said 50 though). So far vita lifetime is
0.48mil>>>>2011(japan only)
3.31mil(+)>>2012
Lets say the life span is another 5years (probably 4), It will have to average around 7.20mil a year. So is it still possible?
Most put under 4mil next year with others slightly over 5 or 6 mil. Some believe it will sell 10mil+ which will be a success (if 40mil is successful)
Discuss



tbone51 said:
Ive read in other threads (mainly one) in order for vita to be successful they need to at least sell 40mil (most said 50 though). So far vita lifetime is
0.48mil>>>>2011(japan only)
3.31mil(+)>>2012
Lets say the life span is another 5years (probably 4), It will have to average around 7.20mil a year. So is it still possible?
Most put under 4mil next year with others slightly over 5 or 6 mil. Some believe it will sell 10mil+ which will be a success (if 40mil is successful)
Discuss

The real question is why is 40 million successful? It's just an arbitrary figure if we don't know the financials.

My guess would be at 40 million it's safe to say it's probably been a financial success (and I would assume with this much hardware out there many games have sold well)... but my guess is as good as any. Could be 30 or 50 or even 20. How big are the budgets for some of these games? GA is almost on par in terms of scale and scope with Drakes Fortune, so did they spend... I dunno, 10 million on it? What kind of money is being lost or made on hardware? We always hear "breaking even" or "small loss" but with so many bundles and discounts and a looming price cut will the hardware itself be profitable in the near future (next year or two)? 

I wish Sony would just release the budgets of games just like movies and the cost of each system to them... would make these discussions so much easier.



Andrespetmonkey said:



tbone51 said:
Ive read in other threads (mainly one) in order for vita to be successful they need to at least sell 40mil (most said 50 though). So far vita lifetime is
0.48mil>>>>2011(japan only)
3.31mil(+)>>2012
Lets say the life span is another 5years (probably 4), It will have to average around 7.20mil a year. So is it still possible?
Most put under 4mil next year with others slightly over 5 or 6 mil. Some believe it will sell 10mil+ which will be a success (if 40mil is successful)
Discuss



The real question is why is 40 million successful? It's just an arbitrary figure if we don't know the financials.
My guess would be at 40 million it's safe to say it's probably been a financial success (and I would assume with this much hardware out there many games have sold well)... but my guess is as good as any. Could be 30 or 50 or even 20. How big are the budgets for some of these games? GA is almost on par in terms of scale and scope with Drakes Fortune, so did they spend... I dunno, 10 million on it? What kind of money is being lost or made on hardware? We always hear "breaking even" or "small loss" but with so many bundles and discounts and a looming price cut will the hardware itself be profitable in the near future (next year or two)? 
I wish Sony would just release the budgets of games just like movies and the cost of each system to them... would make these discussions so much easier.

↓Tbone↓

lol! Yea its hard to tell what is successful, In their eyes success can mean sell lifetime of 25mil profitable but if its not profit of selling 60mil its a failure (which is true)



A year since vita came out (japan), Most people think it wont be over YoY next year? Thougts Anyone?



tbone51 said:
A year since vita came out (japan), Most people think it wont be over YoY next year? Thougts Anyone?


Under 4 million can be over YoY. This year sales up to now are more or less 3.2 millions, before corrections.