The Wii definitely can.

http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=All&cons2=PS3&reg2=All&cons3=PS2&reg3=All&weeks=105&weekly=1

The PS2's upcoming fall/holidays surge is pretty intense but as you can see the Wii's holiday sales last year are comparable with the upcoming PS2 sales and the production this year will be higher for the Wii than they were last year so sales should be even greater.

PS2 sold 4.8 million in 2001 december compared to Wii 4.2 million. And in 2002 PS2 sold over 7 million in december so i don't think Wii will reach this number.

^True, PS2 had massive Christmas sales.

With supply the Wii could match 7 million in the last 5 weeks... but I think it will fall short around 6.5 million.

I think the last 9 weeks might be closer though, 9 million for PS2 in 2002, is a possible target.
I suppose it depends on when Nintendo allocates the Wiis... they could spread them a bit more across the 2 months, which would mean poorer December sales, or they could concentrate them more on December and manage 7 million in the last 5 weeks.

Supply-wise they should have enough for an LTD of 45 million shipped by the end of December.... and if VGC is correct with the low sales at the moment, they look on track to have only shipped 34 million by the end of September... which leaves 11 million for the last 3 months (13 weeks).... which is mor than PS2 managed in 2002 (10.2 million)

^ Adding to this, Nintendo is on track to producing around 24 million Wii's this year (6 months @ 1.8 mil./Month [10.8 Mil.] & 6 months @ 2.4 Mil./Month [14.4 Mil.] ) the real question is will they sell them all, obliterating PS2's 16 Mil. year.

Well this topic was about 2001 PS2 sales so I was talking about the Wii this year being able to beat PS2's 2001 holiday sales.  I don't know if the Wii can hit 7 million this year and match the PS2 2002 sales but i'd be pretty surprised if it was under 6.  Like you said they went over 4 million last year and we've had a significant production increase with stockpiling going on for several months.

Like TWRoO said whether or not Wii 2008 beats PS2 2002 holiday sales may come down to how you define holidays.  If it is just December, maybe not depending on allocation.  If it starts with Black Friday and ends after Christmas then I think the Wii has a good shot.

^Well yes... Wii is besting PS2 during the year.... but PS2 had bigger boosts at Christmas which brought it slightly over Wii sales.

And PS2 2002 sales were 21 million not 16 million, which is the comparable year... kind of... it's awkward with staggered releases (The main thing that fails with this thread is it should be comparing PS3 2008 to PS2 2002.... the massive Eu launch should make up for it's lack of release till March... or if not then do it regionally)

The PS3 will not do very well until American and Japanese numbers become more agreeable. It is truly doing horribly in Japan and only half decent in America. Come to think of it; the Eu/Others numbers aren't exactly startling either, much less as high as Sony expected them to be.

This thread will become an Internet legend someday.

ps3 is like the dreamcast, and the wii is like the ps2

Japan is the key for the PS3. SCEJ need to pull their socks up and get their fingers out