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^True, PS2 had massive Christmas sales.

With supply the Wii could match 7 million in the last 5 weeks... but I think it will fall short around 6.5 million.

I think the last 9 weeks might be closer though, 9 million for PS2 in 2002, is a possible target.
I suppose it depends on when Nintendo allocates the Wiis... they could spread them a bit more across the 2 months, which would mean poorer December sales, or they could concentrate them more on December and manage 7 million in the last 5 weeks.

Supply-wise they should have enough for an LTD of 45 million shipped by the end of December.... and if VGC is correct with the low sales at the moment, they look on track to have only shipped 34 million by the end of September... which leaves 11 million for the last 3 months (13 weeks).... which is mor than PS2 managed in 2002 (10.2 million)