@Troll_Whisperer
I feel I presented both positions fairly well in my original post. It isn't as if I have discounted the prospect of a price reduction at retail. For it to be effective though I do think Sony would probably fall back into loss lead model for each hardware unit sold. Perhaps for as much as a year. In either case Sony will be losing money on the units. While it is obvious that selling at a loss is better then having the liquidity locked up in unsold merchandize. They are still both bad for Sony.
Your sentiment about manufacturing is somewhat oversimplified. Sony is more of a sprinter as far as such things are concerned. Sony wants to reach maximum capacity as far as manufacturing is concerned, and their entire methodology is based around that model. It is a process that only works in one direction really. I have thought about explaining the minutia, but I doubt you would be terribly interested. Suffice it to say driving down their production from maximum capacity would sacrifice certain efficiencies. Which would result in less being spent overall, but more spent on each individual unit. Sony could very much end up back at the beginning.
Yes Sony could curtail production, but it would have a negative impact on cost cutting. Which is after all the long term goal. That is where the real money could be found, and where price competitiveness really comes from. It really should be the last resort for Sony, and if they did that. They might just be better off ceasing production, and if Sony is loss leading at the point. They really should kill the product off at the point. There isn't a good reason that manufacturing costs should be going up if you are already losing money.
Anyway as far as price cuts are concerned. If they come I think Sony will be dragged into doing them kicking, and screaming all of the way. I know it is a veritable messiah on these forums, but if Sony repeats the PS3 again with their portable. That cements a dangerous trend in the minds of consumers. How long will it be before the early adopters shun up front buying altogether. Since they know Sony will drop the price by a huge margin within the first six months. Which is just another way the Vita could murder the PS4.