Wii won't get overtaken.

Pretty much this

Not sure if high, can't do math, drunk, or of course trolling. Could be any of those to be honest with a topic like that.

Someone should compile all of these ridiculously lame predictions together so we can have a laugh later, because I don't think this is Leo's first troll thread.

It could, but if that were to happen it would be around 2015-2016

Sony will be lucky to survive by the end of this generation never mind passing the Wii.

it will NEVER HAPPEN!

No, I'm doing a lot of rounding and fuzzy math. My "~" is intended to be 'about'.... but in reality it should probably be ~25million as that is far more accurate.

Either way, point still stands as it will never happen. PS360 will see their own large declines throughout these next few years due to new gen starting.

Last year Wii did what 11.6m and PS3 about 14m. (2.4m more)

I'd guess Wii will do around 7m and PS3 about 12m.

So, at worst case PS3 will do 7m more than Wii if my guess on the drop off is worse or PS3 has another finaly YoY increase (highly doubtful). More than likely around a 5m gain on Wii.

You have to remember Wii will be $99 to $119 before this year (probably by E3) is over with packed in games while PS3 is at best to reach $199 (probably fall).

So pricing will increase both of their sales during holidays as the Wii's back catalog and various sales will push it just like it has every holiday. PS3's new lower price will also give it a limited jump in sales, but that effect is getting less and less at each drop as the market becomes saturated.

Finally, E3 will see the full reveal of the Wii U and partial to full reveals for MSony's next consoles as well. Meaning, people may decide a Wii U with the same upcoming and enhanced library for $100 more is a better value OR they may decide to save up more money for a future system in 2013. That means 'new' entrants are far less likely. More probably are people replacing consoles for one reason or another and that group is far smaller and potentially more prone to just wait for next gen of some form.

Point is, PS3 is about 32m behind right now. Its taken 6 years for it to catch the 360 that was at most ahead by about 8m at one point, there is no way it will ever make up that 32m Wii gap.

PS3 gain on Wii each year.
2012 - 5m;
2013 - 5m;
2014 - 3m;
2015 - 1m; (PS36Wii are stopped production here)

Maybe it will cut the lead down by half, maybe a couple million more if PS3 lasts to 2016 or Wii ends early at 2014... either way it takes a lot of giant IFs for this prediction to come true.

My ~30m comment was related to OP prediction that stated PS3 would pass by by the time PS4 launched. Since I think that will be by the end of 2013, I was only counting deficits of 2012 and 2013.... which I still think will be around 25m gap. (I agreed my 30m was too high).

By the retirement of PS3 and Wii, yeah 10m to 15m gap is certainly possible depending on a lot of IFs and how the decline in yearly sales for each console and its pricing affects each other... more notably between 360 and PS3 as they decrease in price.

we will see a triple statistical tie xD

But Leo unlike BHR has a prediction record that makes the Charlotte Bobcats proud of their own record for this season.