They were talking about Bioshock Vita back in E3 2011, just becoz of low sales don't mean it got canceled. Especially not if you hear how excited Ken Levine is in interviews about the PSV version. Call of Duty will be big on Vita, it will have console like graphics, a 2nd analog stick, the same online experience on the consoles with voice chat with your friends and possible cross multiplayer with PS3 or some connectivity. The DS or 3DS has neither of that, it doesn't even have a friendlist so don't compare how a CoD can be on the Vita with that on the DS/3DS, Ive seen the graphics of the latest CoD on those machines, it looked like the first Doom lol.

"You're not much use to me alive, are you, Turkish?"

First off, 3DS does have a friends list.  I have almost 100 people on my friends list!  It tells you when your friends are online, tells you what they are playing, and in the case of Mario Kart, lets you join them instantly.  Second, even the DS let you use the mic to talk to people.  The 3DS has a built in mic so the potential is there, too.  On top of that, how hard would it be to make a headset for the 3DS?  And weren't there great home console FPS games last gen?  The 3DS isn't on par with the Vita in terms of graphics but it can easily pull of anything the Xbox/Gamecube/PS2 was doing. It's not the DS!   Would a COD game with Halo 2 graphics on a portable really be a bad game?  Heck, with the 3DS, you have the Circle Pad Pro that gives the device a second analog AND four shoulder buttons.

Personally, I'll probably end up buying the Vita version of anything multi-plat and I know the Vita's online and graphics are much better than what the 3DS offers but c'mon, man.  Don't just bash the 3DS for no reason.

Somewhere around 6-7 millions in my opinion.

If there's a huge price drop by year's end, add 1 million.

The 3DS had a large launch and launch sales drew out longer because of that. But then their sales dropped off sharply and they even sold down to the 40k a week level until the price drop. So yes the 3DS was doing the same thing despite the larger launch.

You're basing that off what? Your gut? How could you determine if any sales figures are "inflated". Rumor? Let's take the numbers we're given and not live in bias land. 1,664,366 is more accurate if you like.

Vita will sell 2 million ww by the end of the month.....so

~6 million. Maybe 4.5 million at the low point and 7 million at the high. I can't see it selling over 50K most weeks of this year. I can see it dropping to below 30K a week by June.

Your logic is completely flawed...

Yes, the 40k a week that the 3DS hit was the ONE week right before its price drop.  However we don't know what the Vita's sales will be in the week right before its price drop (certainly less than 40k), therefore we cannot compare this data.  As a result, it is incorrect to assume that 3DS and Vita are/will be performing the same based on this criteria.

What we can do is compare their performance thus far.  Clearly you didn't see Kowenicki's chart data:

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=141085&page=1

Based on an accurate comparison, the Vita is tracking well below the 3DS when their sales so far are aligned.  Furthermore, the example in your OP of Vita's 90k a week is erroneous:  It's currently at 77,244 and falling every week.  So no, the 3DS was not doing the same, whether you compare their time on the market directly (3 1/2 months, and again, with Vita's benefit of more games and the Japan holiday season) or predict where Vita will be leading up to its own price drop.

8 million.

I don't think it'll even hit 5 million.